Paysign, Inc. logo PAYS - Paysign, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 1
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $15.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $15.00
MEDIAN: $15.00
CONSENSUS: $15.00
DOWNSIDE: 2.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 49.8% below fair value
Current Price $15.37
Bear Case $18.64 21.3% upside ($18.64 - $15.37) / $15.37 = 21.3% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $30.65 99.4% upside ($30.65 - $15.37) / $15.37 = 99.4% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $44.57 190.0% upside ($44.57 - $15.37) / $15.37 = 190.0% 22% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 17.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 7.4% vs our 16.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $30.65 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $15.00
Analyst Range $15.00 – $15.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 104%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 56% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $15.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 104% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions