PaySign, Inc. logo PAYS - PaySign, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 1
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $9.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $9.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $9.00
CONSENSUS: $9.00
UPSIDE: 33.93%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 74.5% below fair value
Current Price $6.72
Bear Case $16.01 138.2% upside ($16.01 - $6.72) / $6.72 = 138.2% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $26.32 291.7% upside ($26.32 - $6.72) / $6.72 = 291.7% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $38.27 469.5% upside ($38.27 - $6.72) / $6.72 = 469.5% 22% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 7.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $9.00 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $26.32 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 56% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $9.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 241% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions