Was Last Week The Tipping Point For Stocks?
Last week was filled with more than a few small bearish events, but did they create a tipping point for the bull market? Bull markets don't tip into bear trends because of bearish news.
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Last week was filled with more than a few small bearish events, but did they create a tipping point for the bull market? Bull markets don't tip into bear trends because of bearish news.
Stock markets shuddered worldwide Monday on worries about whether the global economy can withstand spiking prices for oil, which briefly got to nearly $120 per barrel, their highest level since four summers ago.The S&P 500 fell 1.3%, coming off its worst week since October. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 721 points, or 1.5%, as of 9:35 a.m.
The intensifying U.S.-Iran conflict has driven oil above $100/barrel, with gasoline prices lagging but poised to spike toward $3.50–$3.80/gallon, or higher if escalation persists. Wholesale gasoline prices have surged faster than retail, creating an unprecedented gap; retail prices are likely to catch up rapidly if the conflict endures.
Oil prices could surge past $150 a barrel and trigger a “stagflation” crisis at home if the war in Iran rages on for another four or five weeks, experts told The Post.
A 31% price run-up on Iran war fears gave way to an after-hours retreat. Benchmark U.S. crude closed 4.3% higher at $94.77 a barrel.
After months of investors rotating into value stocks and small caps, the escalating conflict in Iran has abruptly triggered a flight back to the comfort of the familiar. With oil prices CL.1-5.67% BRN00-9.29% briefly topping $100 a barrel, megacap technology names are back in the spotlight — this time not as growth leaders, but as a port in the storm during an increasingly chaotic period for global markets.
Comprehensive cross-platform coverage of the U.S. market close on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, and YouTube with Romaine Bostick, Katie Greifeld, Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video?
US stock indices reversed sharply into the green on Monday after President Donald Trump told CBS News senior White House correspondent that the US-Israel war against Iran is effectively over. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which had plunged as many as 945 points in the morning session, rebounded sharply and closed nearly 240 points up at 47,740.74.
Big U.S. exchanges are working on plans to offer digital tokens that mimic shares and trade 24/7.
I reiterate my buy recommendation on assets tracking the main American indices, despite heightened conflict in Iran. Historical data shows U.S. stocks remain resilient during geopolitical crises, with seasonality favoring post-March recoveries.
Energy markets face historic disruption as the Strait of Hormuz closure drives Brent crude to $100, with extreme backwardation signaling market uncertainty. Assumptions of a quick resolution are misplaced; structural and leadership challenges in Iran make a near-term ceasefire highly unlikely.
US stock benchmarks have significantly gapped lower from weekend angst but are attempting a rebound. Participants are now pricing a prolonged US-Israel-Iran war and more disruptive effects from the conflict.
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I anticipate a prolonged Middle East conflict, likely lasting several months, with oil supply disruptions and the potential for prices to exceed $200. Markets are underestimating the duration and severity of the crisis, as seen in oil futures backwardation and resilient US equities.
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Stock-market jitters are back. But some experts think investors aren't jittery enough.
Selloffs in South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan highlight supply-chain and energy risks that could eventually spill into U.S. markets as the Iran conflict escalates.
Oil's surge toward $120 per barrel is rattling energy markets and fueling inflation fears. But for one corner of the market, the spike could be a tailwind.
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