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AlphaBlog

A Weak Jobs Print, and a Stronger Market Bid

September payrolls came in soft enough to move rates, and rates are moving the market. The real story is not one bad labor headline, but what a slower hiring machine does to Fed odds, valuations, and small-cap relief.

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Market News

Kimbell Royalty Partners: 13% Yield And A Cheaper Valuation

Kimbell Royalty Partners: 13% Yield And A Cheaper Valuation

Kimbell Royalty Partners is upgraded to Strong Buy after a record quarter, increased distributions, and two strategic acquisitions. KRP's forward yield is 13%, valuation is below historical averages, and recent deals are driving double-digit production growth despite minor dilution. Distribution growth remains robust, with payouts supported even if oil prices fall; debt is manageable but a key risk if commodity prices weaken.

Oct 04, 2026 08:27 AM • seekingalpha.com
AI Stocks Drive an Divided Market

AI Stocks Drive an Divided Market

Schwab Head of Macro Research and Strategy Kevin Gordon tells Bloomberg This Weekend that AI-related technology stocks are supporting the broader market even as many individual companies have suffered significantly larger declines, highlighting increasingly narrow market leadership. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Gordon says a gradual Federal Reserve tightening cycle and a labor market that avoids widespread layoffs could support stocks, while investors are increasingly focused on whether companies sustain their enormous AI capital spending.

Oct 04, 2026 08:03 AM • youtube.com
Taiwan Says US Policy Remains Unchanged

Taiwan Says US Policy Remains Unchanged

Taiwan's Representative to the US, Alexander Yui, tells Bloomberg This Weekend that Washington has reassured Taipei its Taiwan policy remains unchanged following President Donald Trump's meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, even as a $14 billion US arms package remains stalled. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Yui says Taiwan wants faster weapons deliveries and is deepening its economic relationship with the US through major investments in semiconductors and other industries.

Oct 04, 2026 06:44 AM • youtube.com
Canadian Apartment Properties Now Offers A 4.9% Yield And A 40% Discount To NAV

Canadian Apartment Properties Now Offers A 4.9% Yield And A 40% Discount To NAV

Canadian Apartment Properties REIT faces headwinds from higher interest rates, muted rent growth, and increased supply in the Canadian rental market. FFO and AFFO are stagnating, with annualized AFFO projected at C$2.21–2.25 per share and only 1–2% growth expected into 2027. LTV ratio stands at 41%, manageable even with a 50 bps cap rate increase, and the payout ratio is a conservative 70% of AFFO.

Oct 04, 2026 06:40 AM • seekingalpha.com
Jobs Slow as Inflation Keeps Fed on Alert

Jobs Slow as Inflation Keeps Fed on Alert

Bloomberg Intelligence Chief US Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey tells Bloomberg This Weekend that softer September jobs data give the Federal Reserve room to hold rates steady in October, but persistent inflation could still lead policymakers to raise rates again in December and early next year. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Jersey says strong economic growth and loose fiscal policy are also contributing to higher global bond yields, keeping pressure on central banks to restrain inflation.

Oct 04, 2026 05:03 AM • youtube.com
REITs Hit A Rate Wall

REITs Hit A Rate Wall

U.S. equity markets were mixed as softer jobs data and cooler-than-expected inflation eased near-term Fed tightening fears but failed to halt another punishing move at the longer end of the curve. The critical BLS payrolls report showed September job growth of 29k - well short of expectations - while wage growth slowed to its weakest pace since 2021. Core PCE - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - also surprised to the downside, helped in part by benchmark and methodology revisions that lowered previously reported inflation.

Oct 04, 2026 05:00 AM • seekingalpha.com
White House Moves to Assess Growing AI Risks

White House Moves to Assess Growing AI Risks

Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Gautam Mukunda tells Bloomberg This Weekend that voluntary safeguards may not be enough to manage AI risks because competitive and financial pressures can push companies to prioritize growth over safety. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Mukunda discusses the White House's new AI task force, Anthropic's planned IPO and broader questions about whether increasingly advanced AI systems can be safely governed.

Oct 04, 2026 04:38 AM • youtube.com
G7 Fuel Release Ease Prices

G7 Fuel Release Ease Prices

Bloomberg Mideast Energy Correspondent Anthony Di Paola tells Bloomberg This Weekend that the G7's 100 million-barrel emergency release is already pushing fuel prices lower but is likely to provide only temporary relief as refinery constraints and Middle East disruptions keep diesel supplies tight. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Di Paola says China's oil demand and escalating risks around the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea will be key factors determining where global energy prices go next.

Oct 04, 2026 04:07 AM • youtube.com
Kimbell Royalty Partners: The Growth Story Is Just Getting Started

Kimbell Royalty Partners: The Growth Story Is Just Getting Started

Kimbell Royalty Partners is rated a Buy at ~$14.50, driven by recent acquisitions, increased production guidance, and a compelling 13% dividend yield. Q2 results were strong, but Q4 will better reflect Mesa and Drop Down acquisitions, with production guidance midpoints up 15% versus the prior 2026 outlook. Significant unit issuance funds acquisitions; per-unit cash flow growth is key for long-term value, with 9.7% YoY unit growth requiring close monitoring.

Oct 04, 2026 04:06 AM • seekingalpha.com
Mr. Market Can't See The Forest For The Trees (2 Beaten-Down Timber REITs)

Mr. Market Can't See The Forest For The Trees (2 Beaten-Down Timber REITs)

Weyerhaeuser and Rayonier present compelling value after recent share price weakness, with compressed valuations and attractive dividend yields. WY offers integrated scale, manufacturing leverage, and embedded land optionality, while RYN provides Southern land exposure and development opportunities post-PotlatchDeltic merger. Intrinsic value analysis and normalized Price-to-EBITDA suggest potential upside, but margin of safety depends on conservative asset, earnings, and leverage assumptions.

Oct 04, 2026 04:00 AM • seekingalpha.com

Stock News