Ceasefire Brings Relief, But Outlooks Remain Complex
Bond market volatility remains elevated despite ceasefire relief. Credit markets show resilience.
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Osterweis Capital Management Q2 2026 Equity Outlook
For the better part of two decades, software companies and information services firms have been rightfully viewed as the archetypal quality compounders. The five largest hyperscalers are projected to deploy over $700 billion in aggregate capital expenditure this year, an increase of over 60% from 2025.
Can Forgotten Biotech Break Out?
After a 50%+ run from lows last April through highs in mid-January, the Biotech group has been trending sideways over the last few months. Biotech hasn't garnered much attention lately, with all the coverage of the Iran War and the AI Doom trade that's been taking down software stocks even as AI infrastructure stocks continue to surge.
Panetta: Iran's Grip on Hormuz Puts Pressure on US Economy
Leon Panetta, Former Defense Secretary under the Obama Administration, says Tehran's control of the Strait gives it significant leverage and is driving inflation and fuel costs, making it central to negotiations. Panetta, who also served as White House Chief of Staff during the Clinton Administration, stresses the importance of restoring free passage through the Strait, questions lack of earlier military action, and warns regime change can't be achieved through air power alone.
Review & Preview: Stocks' Stellar Week
The major indexes had their best week of the year. A fragile cease-fire plus the start of earnings season had investors buying the dip.
Markets Weekly Outlook: Markets Brace For U.S.-Iran Talks Amid Post-Ceasefire Surge
The announcement of a tentative US-Iran ceasefire led to the "unwinding of the fear trade". The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both enjoyed a strong recovery, finishing green for seven consecutive trading sessions.
Are The Semis And Transports Leading The Market To New Highs?
For generations of market watchers, the Dow Jones Transportation Index was considered the ultimate leading indicator for the broader market. For today's digital economy, the "leading" torch has been handed to the semis group, which we labeled "the Transports of the 21st century" years ago.
Fed asks about US banks' exposure to private credit firms, Bloomberg reports
The Federal Reserve is asking major U.S. banks for details about their exposure to private credit following a surge in redemptions from the funds and a rise in troubled loans in the industry, Bloomberg News reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the matter.
Cramer warns of ‘incredibly overconfident' market after U.S.-Iran ceasefire
Jim Cramer explained why the market seems "overconfident" right now after the S&P 500 posts its best week since November. In the week ahead, Cramer will be following earnings from banks like Goldman and Wells Fargo.
Forget GDP. Meet GDI: The new economic scorecard for AI power
A version of this story originally appeared in the BI Tech Memo newsletter. Sign up for the weekly BI Tech Memo newsletter here.
Powell And Bessent Summon Bank CEOs For An 'Urgent' Meeting - What's Going On
The Fed Chair and the Treasury Secretary had an urgent meeting with bank CEOs, apparently to discuss the new Anthropic advanced AI model. These urgent, highest-level meetings usually happen during a financial crisis.
Wall Street creates new credit-default swap index to bet against private credit
S&P Dow Jones Indices is launching a new credit-default swap index linked to the private credit market, giving investors a tool to bet against a sector that has faced turbulence in the last few months.
S&P 500: Markets Wait For Clarity On Iran, But It May Be Hard To Come By
Markets remain highly uncertain amid the unresolved Iran crisis and ineffective ceasefire, with the Strait of Hormuz largely closed to normal traffic. Energy price spikes, particularly gasoline up 21.2%, have driven March CPI to 3.3%, fueling stagflation fears and sharply lowering consumer confidence.
Inside the Consumer Price Index: March 2026
Inflation affects everything from grocery bills to rent, making the Consumer Price Index one of the most closely watched economic indicators. What does inflation mean at the micro level — specifically to your household?
Software stocks are getting pulverized — but bitcoin's rebound hints that a bottom might be in
Bitcoin's relative strength on Friday may offer a bullish clue for battered software shares — that is, if a past relationship still holds.
Stock Market Posts Big Weekly Gains Despite Inflation Pop; Vance Issues Iran Warning
The stock market, including the Dow Jones index, nailed down strong weekly gains. Vice President JD Vance issued an Iran warning.
Friday's Final Takeaways: AI Doubts, Global Inflation, & Geopolitical Risk Ahead of Earnings Season
Pressure continues to build in software as ServiceNow (NOW) leads a broader pullback tied to fading confidence in A.I. positioning.
Investors are gloomy about inflation and risk-taking ahead of Saturday's Iran talks
The economic toll of the Iran conflict is starting to show up at home.
Inflation SHOCKS markets, Fed debates rate cuts, Bank earnings preview » Market Movers Apr 10, 2026
Today's Executive Summary — April 9, 2026: Market and Industry Outlook In this dynamic market update, inflation remains the central concern, with experts dissecting the latest CPI report and the outlook for Fed interest rate cuts. We dive into the crucial Q1 bank earnings season, analyze the accelerating AI build-out in tech and construction, and explore essential tax diversification strategies for retirement.
Tim Pagliara on Long-Term Strait of Hormuz Disruptions & Unsung Tech Stocks
Tim Pagliara talks about the disruptions he sees happening over a long period of time around the Strait of Hormuz. Those disruptions are one he says go beyond crude oil, pointing to commodities like sugar, helium, and fertilizer impacting food supplies and tech manufacturing.
