Stocks rise and oil falls on cautious optimism for a resolution to the Iran War
The Investment Committee debate how to trade stocks as hopes for a resolution in Iran pushes oil lower and stocks higher.
Market News
The U.S.-Iran War: Position For Ground Invasion
The negotiations between the US and Iran are likely to fail, and the US will be forced to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by force, with a ground invasion. The stock market is already frontrunning the possible end of the war, expecting the US operation to succeed.
Three Weeks In: Where We Stand on Iran
SUMMARY We have revised down our probability of a ‘Quick Deal' from our last publication. US economic and earnings data is still resilient, in our view.
White House says Trump will meet Xi in China in May
A long-awaited meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping will take place in Beijing on May 14 and 15, the White House said.
Hedge Funds Look Vulnerable to Oil Price Shocks
Spikes in oil prices and cracks in the market for private credit could mean investors in these strategies are at risk should the S&P 500 continue to fall, new research shows.
3 High-Yield Dividend Stocks Paying Over 5% - And How to Boost Their Income
As you know, I'm a seasonal pattern trader to my core. I've spent my 30-plus-year career discovering some of the most profitable patterns in the market.
Federal Reserve Posted Loss of $18.7 Billion in 2025
The central bank's finances are recovering after an unprecedented run of losses tied to its pandemic-era stimulus and subsequent inflation fight.
The research firm whose AI paper knocked the whole stock market is out with another big call
Citrini Research, the firm that issued a market-shaking bearish call on artificial intelligence earlier this year, is now warning that an oil-driven slowdown could drag down stocks. “If the war doesn't end, equities will go lower,” Citrini founder James van Geelen wrote in a new Substack post.
Don't Buy The Hope: Making Peace With Iran Will Be Far Easier Said Than Done
Markets have rallied on hopes for a U.S.-Iran peace deal, but I see negotiations as highly fraught and unlikely to yield quick, durable results. Immediate war risks appear priced in, yet I expect further volatility as both sides face existential threats and entrenched positions.
QQQ: Stocks Still Dangerously Detached From Reality
The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) faces a deteriorating risk-reward outlook. Escalating Iran conflict would lead to a market crash while low single-digit long-term returns await even under benign scenarios.
Ives: It's a white-knuckle moment for tech, this is a risk-off trade
Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities discusses the major headwinds that have been facing the tech sector this year, and where he still sees buying opportunities.
How To Navigate Stagflation Fears: Seeking Less Correlated Assets
The S&P 500 remains a Hold, as it trades below its 200-day moving average and still carries a forward P/E above its 5- and 10-year averages. Despite the Trump Put, prolonged conflict and higher oil prices are increasing inflation expectations and the probability of rate hikes this year, which is a headwind for equities.
Investing On Both Sides Of The K-Shaped Economy
The persistent K-shaped economy is worsening, with middle and lower classes weakening while the upper end remains resilient. Premium and luxury retail stocks have seen deep sell-offs over the last few years, establishing multi-year lows as the middle class is squeezed out of their audience.
Stock Market Update: The Impacts of War
As hostilities broke out in the Middle East, markets were initially rather resilient. This resilience was likely supported by the view it could be a short-duration bombing event, similar to past episodes, amid improving global economic data.
KG: Brace for Crude Oil Technical Bounce & Headlines to Move Wall Street
The average price per gallon since the U.S.-Iran War started has risen $1 nationwide, and Kevin Green isn't expecting crude oil volatility to cool soon. He adds that the futures are setting up for a tentative technical bounce.
Higher inflation is coming — import prices show biggest increase in four years
Wall Street was already worried about another surge in inflation tied to the Iran war. Now a stunningly large increase in the cost of imported goods has added to the angst.
Indiana is barring one of the nation's most expensive autism-therapy providers from billing the state's Medicaid program weeks after its practices were detailed in a Wall Street Journal article
Indiana officials moved to terminate Piece by Piece Autism Centers after a Journal investigation.
Rate Cuts On Ice As Inflation Expectations Surge At The Short End
Inflation worries have convinced markets that the odds are low for a cut in interest rates this year by the Federal Reserve. At the moment, much of the fixed-income market is underwater this year, based on a set of ETFs through Tuesday's close (Mar. 24).
Stock Market Update: One Consumer Signal Markets Cannot Ignore
Who is “Granny Retail”? “Granny Retail” is not an individual, it is a concept.
Will The U.S. Hit A Recession? Moody's Warns Of ‘Real Threat' Amid Iran War
A recession is two consecutive quarters of negative growth in gross domestic product, a measurement of all goods and services produced in a country. The National Bureau of Economic Research, the most commonly cited determiner of recessions, more broadly defines one as a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months.
