Stocks Climb Back To Par
Plus, bond volatility and rising crude prices
Market News
Next six months will be most important for inflation, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
Tom Lee of Fundstrat joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss how the market is being driven by higher yields.
Raging Conflict in the Middle East and Rising Yields Weigh on U.S. Stocks
An uncertain outlook for peace in the Middle East pushed bond yields higher and weighed on stocks on Thursday, with investors weighing dissonant reports on attacks and negotiations.
Stop trying to beat the market: Even the richest Americans can't do it consistently
The 400 richest Americans would collectively have performed better over the past 12 months had they invested their net worths in an S&P 500 index fund.
Dow falls 160 points as Treasury Yields and oil prices rise
US stocks ended lower on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling for a third straight session as Treasury yields reached multidecade highs and higher oil prices added to inflation concerns. The Dow fell 162.41 points, or 0.32%, to 51,349.18.
The Debate Over a Diesel Export Ban Is Giving Europe Whiplash
European Union officials say they are in talks with the Trump administration to head off export controls.
The Dow:Gold ratio shows stocks are down 33% since 2023 – and the next crash will come by 2030 – Mises Institute
The most important measure of inflation–the one against which investment decisions and monetary policies are benchmarked– is inaccurate, outdated and misleading by design, and the ratio between the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the gold price is the only reliable alternative, according to economist Vasilii Sapozhnikov at the Mises Institute.
Companies keep raising prices. The Fed is trying to get them to reconsider.
Inflation pressures have been so persistent this year in part because businesses have been able to pass along higher prices to consumers.
The case against buying and holding stocks for the long term
The number of stocks outperforming the index over time is shrinking, increasing the need for active managers to be nimble.
Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Rallies As Houthis Attack Saudi Arabia
Oil prices are rising as Iran indicates the Strait of Hormuz would remain blocked until U.S. lifts sanctions and the naval blockade.
Surging Treasury yields are posing a brand new problem for Kevin Warsh and the Fed
Surging bond yields are putting the Fed and Chairman Kevin Warsh in a precarious spot over how much policymakers should react. Markets are suddenly pricing in an aggressive path of interest rate increases as the central bank responds to a variety of pressures.
Breaking the Bond Fever!
Confluence Investment Management offers various asset allocation products, which are managed based on “top down,” or macro, analysis. We publish asset allocation thoughts on a bi-weekly basis, updating the report every other Monday, along with an accompanying podcast.
Bond liquidation wrecks small caps. Here's how bad some traders see it getting
While the S&P 500 powers through rising bond yields and higher crude oil prices, one section of the U.S. stock market is falling behind.
Canadian business leader warns trade uncertainty risks 'capital chill' as USMCA talks drag on
Goldy Hyder, the CEO of the Business Council of Canada warns that ongoing uncertainty over the USMCA trade agreement risks creating a "capital chill" for investments.
Here are 3 alternatives for investors looking to dodge the bond-market beatdown
U.S. stocks have kept chugging higher this year, but bonds haven't been able to shake off a five-year slump. That has sent some investors interested in a diversified portfolio searching for alternatives.
America Is Behind on Memory Chips—and Tariffs Threaten to Make Things Harder
The Trump administration wants to spur U.S. chip-making, but tariffs on foreign imports could raise costs for American companies.
Senate to vote on ending Iran war as Americans face higher fuel costs from conflict
The Senate is set to vote again to end the U.S. war with Iran as American consumers reel from sky-high prices at the pump wrought by the conflict. An affirmative vote on the measure, known as a War Powers Resolution, would direct President Donald Trump to remove U.S. troops from hostilities in Iran unless Congress explicitly approves the war.
3 Reasons Growth Investors Will Love Philip Morris (PM)
Philip Morris (PM) could produce exceptional returns because of its solid growth attributes.
Investor Trap: 8% Current Yield From PEB Is Not Worth The Risk
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust offers preferred stocks with yields above 8%, but risk-adjusted returns are less compelling versus sector benchmarks. PEB's preferred spreads to Treasuries have narrowed and now stand roughly one percentage point above safer REITs like PSA, despite higher operational risk. PEB lacks a credit rating and operates in the highly cyclical hotel sector, increasing vulnerability to economic shocks compared to investment-grade peers.
Rising Rates Not a Dealbreaker for Stocks
This week the 10-year Treasury yield crossed 5% for the first time since July 2007, while the Federal Reserve hiked the Fed funds rate by +25 basis points. For investors who began their careers after the 2008 financial crisis, when rates were incredibly low, a 5% risk-free rate must feel like a watershed moment.
