Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Moves Higher As Iran Delays Nuclear Talks With U.S.
Iran wants Israel to stop its military operation against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Market News
The Bond Market Is Too Hawkish
Developed-market central banks went hawkish in unison, BOJ to a 31-year high, ECB hiking, the Fed talking tough. Stocks and gold sold off.
Warsh is shaking things up at the Fed
The Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% on June 17, but the unanimous decision belied a meeting that reset market expectations for where rates are headed. It was the first FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh, and he used it to signal a sharply more hawkish posture than his predecessor's, prompting analysts to raise the odds of a rate hike before year-end.
Warsh's first test as Fed chairman will be reading the AI boom. Will the build-out cool or stoke price pressures?
Will the build-out cool or stoke price pressures? The 1990s offer two different answers.
The Bifurcated Market Is Creating Opportunities
Meta and similar 'old-fashioned' tech stocks offer overlooked value as the market chases high-expectation names like Micron and SpaceX. There is a bifurcated market: AI infrastructure stocks are priced for perfection, while wide-moat compounders like MSFT, META, and NFLX trade at attractive valuations.
AI Warfare Is at the Point of No Return. What Now?
Between a new executive order, a clash with Anthropic and high-tech wars, the U.S. is stumbling into an AI arms race that the world is struggling to control.
Oil tanker traffic in Strait of Hormuz jumps after U.S. and Iran implement deal to open sea lane
At least 20 tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, according to Kpler. That is the highest level of traffic since June 2, the firm said.
5 Numbers Highlighting How Insane The Market Has Become
Equity markets are at record highs, driven lately by peace prospects with Iran and surging Technology and Energy sector earnings. Valuations are historically extreme: SpaceX trades at over 130x sales, the Buffett Indicator is at 214%, and IPO fundraising is set to shatter records.
Fed's Warsh Still Expects a Rate Hike This Year, Says Former Vice Chair Roger Ferguson
Roger Ferguson, the former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, went on CNBC Thursday to translate what just happened at Kevin Warsh's debut meeting as Fed Chair.
Chip stocks are setting records, but this hidden chart pattern says momentum favors the bears
The SOXX's RSI indicator has fallen further below the overbought threshold despite prices making record highs. History suggests that's a bad sign.
Week Ahead for FX, Bonds: U.S. Inflation Data in Focus as Prospects of Fed Rate Hike Increase
The Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure will be watched closely after the central bank recently signaled the possibility that its next move could be to raise interest rates.
U.S. jobless claims drop to 226,000 as unemployment rate stays at a historically low 4.3%
The number of Americans applying for jobless aid fell modestly last week as layoffs remained in the same historically low range of recent years.U.S. applications for unemployment benefits in the week ending June 13 dropped by 4,000 to 226,000, the Labor Department reported Thursday. That's in line with the 225,000 new applications forecast by analysts surveyed by the data firm FactSet.Weekly filings for unemployment benefits are considered representative of U.S. layoffs and are close to a real-time indicator of the health of the job market.Despite concerns that the conflict in the Middle East would further squeeze a flagging labor market, hiring has picked up in recent months following a miserable 2025 that saw fewer than 200,000 job gains.
It Is Wise To Get Cautious Here. Fortunately, There Are Options
The S&P 500's relentless rally and repeated all-time highs suggest a near-term pullback is likely, warranting portfolio repositioning. I see the Energy sector (IXC, XLE) as a compelling hedge, with geopolitical risks supporting crude prices and sector outperformance during equity weakness.
Canada Retail Sales Continue to Rise, Buoyed by Higher Gas Prices
Retail sales in April rose 0.5% from the month before, driven by increased trade at gas stations and fuel vendors.
Trading in French server company suspended after short seller's accusations trigger stock collapse
Trading of ordinary shares in the French technology company have been suspended following allegations from a short seller.
Fed watching is looking very different now. Two charts can help you in the Warsh era.
The Federal Reserve meeting this week marked the begining of a new era for U.S. monetary policy, and consequently, for investors.
The U.S. has launched a trade investigation into a German plan to cut spending on pharmaceuticals, a move that could result in fresh tariffs
The investigation comes after Berlin said it would require drugmakers to offer bigger discounts on medicines.
Kevin Warsh's First Fed Meeting Sinks Elizabeth Warren's ‘Sock Puppet' Complaint
The Federal Reserve chair has always been one of the most scrutinized jobs in Washington.
Trump picked Kevin Warsh to cut rates. The new Fed chief just told us he has other plans.
The Federal Reserve is a sprawling bureaucracy, averse to change. With that in mind, the latest FOMC meeting and press conference — the first under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh — came as a pleasant surprise.
Why the Fed's hawkish stance signals a step-change in U.S. dollar sentiment — and a new direction
Interest rate differentials, growth prospects, demand for capital from AI investment and bumper stock market issuance is generating demand for the dollar and a bullish impulse
