LOCO - El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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--
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$14.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$15.00
LOW:
$13.50
MEDIAN:
$14.25
CONSENSUS:
$14.25
UPSIDE:
2.81%
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ||||||||||||||
| Revenue | 490.0 | 473.0 | 468.7 | 470.0 | 454.4 | 426.1 | 442.3 | 435.8 | 401.7 | 380.1 | 355.1 | 344.9 | 314.7 | 293.6 |
| Cost of Revenue | 349.7 | 369.5 | 375.3 | 386.3 | 355.1 | 332.4 | 345.6 | 339.4 | 305.4 | 286.3 | 263.6 | 255.5 | 236.2 | 224.1 |
| Gross Profit | 140.4 | 103.5 | 93.4 | 83.7 | 99.3 | 93.7 | 96.7 | 96.5 | 96.3 | 93.8 | 91.5 | 89.4 | 78.5 | 69.5 |
| Operating Expenses | ||||||||||||||
| R&D Expenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SG&A Expenses | 50.3 | 46.3 | 42.0 | 39.1 | 39.9 | 35.9 | 37.2 | 50.3 | 38.5 | 34.7 | 29.0 | 29.5 | 25.5 | 24.5 |
| Other Expenses | 47.6 | 16.1 | 11.6 | 14.4 | 18.1 | 24.2 | 21.2 | 0.8 | 5.6 | (0.4) | (0.2) | (42.0) | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| Operating Expenses | 97.9 | 62.3 | 53.6 | 53.5 | 57.9 | 60.1 | 58.4 | 68.1 | 56.7 | 50.7 | 42.1 | 41.1 | 35.7 | 34.0 |
| Operating Income | ||||||||||||||
| Operating Income | 42.5 | 41.2 | 39.8 | 30.1 | 41.3 | 33.6 | 38.3 | (9.5) | 6.8 | 34.6 | 48.8 | 49.3 | 42.4 | 33.1 |
| Interest Expense | 4.5 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 18.1 | 36.4 | 39.0 |
| Interest Income | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Profitability | ||||||||||||||
| EBITDA | 58.4 | 56.9 | 55.1 | 45.0 | 56.5 | 50.3 | 59.5 | 9.1 | 30.5 | 50.4 | 61.9 | 9.3 | 31.2 | 42.7 |
| EBIT | 42.5 | 41.2 | 39.7 | 30.6 | 41.3 | 33.4 | 41.7 | (8.7) | 39.6 | 34.3 | 48.7 | (2.4) | 21.0 | 33.2 |
| Income Before Tax | 37.6 | 35.3 | 34.9 | 28.9 | 39.5 | 30.1 | 34.6 | (12.2) | 9.1 | 31.1 | 44.9 | (20.5) | (15.5) | (5.8) |
| Income Tax Expense | 11.1 | 9.6 | 9.3 | 8.1 | 10.3 | 5.7 | 9.7 | (3.2) | 0.5 | 12.8 | 20.9 | (63.0) | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Net Income | 26.5 | 25.7 | 25.6 | 20.8 | 29.1 | 24.5 | 24.9 | (9.0) | 8.6 | 18.3 | 24.1 | 42.5 | (16.9) | (7.9) |
| Per Share Data | ||||||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | 0.91 | 0.86 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 0.81 | 0.70 | 0.68 | -0.23 | 0.22 | 0.48 | 0.63 | 1.32 | -0.47 | -0.22 |
| EPS (Diluted) | 0.90 | 0.86 | 0.74 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 0.68 | 0.67 | -0.23 | 0.22 | 0.47 | 0.62 | 1.24 | -0.45 | -0.21 |
| Shares Outstanding | 29.3 | 29.9 | 34.3 | 36.4 | 36.0 | 35.2 | 36.7 | 38.6 | 38.5 | 38.4 | 37.9 | 32.3 | 35.9 | 35.9 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Assets | ||||||||||
| Cash & Cash Equivalents | 6.2 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 20.5 | 30.0 | 13.2 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 2.2 |
| Short-Term Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net Receivables | 11.2 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 10.9 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 8.9 | 9.6 | 7.2 | 6.9 |
| Inventory | 0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Other Current Assets | (11.2) | 5.5 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Total Current Assets | 6.2 | 19.9 | 25.1 | 37.4 | 49.5 | 31.7 | 24.7 | 22.0 | 20.7 | 35.9 |
| Non-Current Assets | ||||||||||
| Property, Plant & Equipment | 0 | 258.1 | 253.6 | 245.8 | 249.3 | 258.4 | 284.2 | 104.2 | 102.8 | 118.5 |
| Goodwill | 248.7 | 248.7 | 248.7 | 248.7 | 248.7 | 248.7 | 248.7 | 248.7 | 248.7 | 248.7 |
| Intangible Assets | 61.9 | 61.9 | 61.9 | 61.9 | 61.9 | 61.9 | 61.9 | 62.2 | 62.3 | 62.4 |
| Long-Term Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 289.9 | 67.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Total Non-Current Assets | 600.4 | 636.5 | 567.2 | 559.8 | 564.3 | 573.6 | 600.1 | 428.2 | 422.0 | 435.4 |
| Total Assets | 606.6 | 592.0 | 592.3 | 597.2 | 613.8 | 605.2 | 624.8 | 450.2 | 442.7 | 471.3 |
| Current Liabilities | ||||||||||
| Account Payables | 15.7 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 12.7 | 10.6 | 7.5 | 5.6 | 9.6 | 12.3 | 11.6 |
| Short-Term Debt | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.1 | 20.0 | 16.4 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Deferred Revenue | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Other Current Liabilities | 44.1 | 8.9 | 10.6 | 7.7 | 25.5 | 24.8 | 40.3 | 53.5 | 19.2 | 20.3 |
| Total Current Liabilities | 79.1 | 75.7 | 72.6 | 68.5 | 74.6 | 66.4 | 74.0 | 82.9 | 47.3 | 45.3 |
| Non-Current Liabilities | ||||||||||
| Long-Term Debt | 49.6 | 71 | 84 | 66 | 40 | 62.8 | 97 | 74 | 93 | 104 |
| Deferred Tax Liabilities | 7.6 | 6.4 | 8.9 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 18.0 | 0 | 18.5 |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 7.7 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 27.3 | 38 |
| Total Non-Current Liabilities | 236.5 | 255.7 | 269.0 | 247.6 | 228.6 | 261.2 | 305.2 | 102.1 | 120.4 | 160.8 |
| Total Liabilities | 315.6 | 331.3 | 341.6 | 316.1 | 303.2 | 327.6 | 379.2 | 185.0 | 167.8 | 206.1 |
| Stockholders' Equity | ||||||||||
| Common Stock | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Retained Earnings | 43.6 | 18.9 | 14.0 | (11.6) | (32.4) | (61.5) | (86.0) | (110.9) | (98.4) | (107.0) |
| Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | (0.3) | (0.8) | 0.3 | (144.0) | (106.5) | (96.4) |
| Total Stockholders' Equity | 291.1 | 260.7 | 250.7 | 281.1 | 310.6 | 277.6 | 245.6 | 265.2 | 274.9 | 265.2 |
| Total Liabilities & Equity | 606.6 | 592.0 | 592.3 | 597.2 | 613.8 | 605.2 | 624.8 | 450.2 | 442.7 | 471.3 |
| Debt Metrics | ||||||||||
| Total Debt | 239.6 | 263.0 | 273.3 | 252.9 | 233.5 | 263.1 | 311.0 | 74.2 | 93.3 | 104.5 |
| Net Debt | 233.3 | 260.5 | 266.0 | 232.4 | 203.4 | 249.9 | 302.9 | 67.2 | 84.8 | 102.3 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Activities | ||||||||||
| Net Income | 12.0 | 25.7 | 25.6 | 20.8 | 29.1 | 24.5 | 24.9 | (9.0) | 8.6 | 18.3 |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 4.1 | 15.7 | 15.2 | 14.4 | 15.2 | 16.9 | 17.9 | 17.8 | 18.1 | 16.1 |
| Stock-Based Compensation | 6.4 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Change in Working Capital | (1.6) | 3.8 | (1.0) | (4.5) | 0.8 | (12.2) | (27.9) | 28.6 | (3.4) | (7.5) |
| Other Non-Cash Items | 26.5 | 0.5 | (2.9) | 0.1 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 9.1 | 10.2 | 34.6 | 8.6 |
| Operating Cash Flow | 48.1 | 46.8 | 40.7 | 38.5 | 52.1 | 40.5 | 36.1 | 45.4 | 53.7 | 49.3 |
| Investing Activities | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | (22.6) | (19.1) | (21.3) | (19.9) | (17.0) | (6.7) | (15.4) | (27.8) | (36.2) | (37.4) |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 0 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Purchases of Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sales/Maturities of Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Investing Activities | (24.3) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Investing Cash Flow | (22.6) | (18.9) | (13.4) | (18.9) | (12.5) | (6.7) | (10.7) | (27.8) | (36.2) | (35.2) |
| Financing Activities | ||||||||||
| Net Debt Issuance | (20.2) | (13.2) | 17.8 | 25.8 | (22.9) | (34.2) | 22.9 | (19.8) | (11.1) | (19.2) |
| Stock Repurchased | (1.8) | (20.6) | (59.2) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (48.4) | (1.0) | 0 | 0 |
| Dividends Paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | (55.6) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Financing Activities | (0.7) | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 5.5 | 1.1 | (0.3) | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Financing Cash Flow | (21.7) | (32.6) | (40.4) | (29.2) | (22.8) | (28.7) | (24.4) | (19.2) | (11.1) | (18.0) |
| Cash Position | ||||||||||
| Net Change in Cash | 3.7 | (4.8) | (13.2) | (9.6) | 16.8 | 5.1 | 1.1 | (1.6) | 6.4 | (3.9) |
| Cash at Beginning | 2.5 | 7.3 | 20.5 | 30.0 | 13.2 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 6.1 |
| Cash at End | 6.2 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 20.5 | 30.0 | 13.2 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 2.2 |
| Free Cash Flow | 25.4 | 27.7 | 19.4 | 18.6 | 35.1 | 33.9 | 20.7 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 11.9 |
| Key Metrics | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | ||||||||||||||
| Revenue | 490.0 | 473.0 | 468.7 | 470.0 | 454.4 | 426.1 | 442.3 | 435.8 | 401.7 | 380.1 | 355.1 | 344.9 | 314.7 | 293.6 |
| Gross Profit | 140.4 | 103.5 | 93.4 | 83.7 | 99.3 | 93.7 | 96.7 | 96.5 | 96.3 | 93.8 | 91.5 | 89.4 | 78.5 | 69.5 |
| Operating Income | 42.5 | 41.2 | 39.8 | 30.1 | 41.3 | 33.6 | 38.3 | (9.5) | 6.8 | 34.6 | 48.8 | 49.3 | 42.4 | 33.1 |
| Net Income | 26.5 | 25.7 | 25.6 | 20.8 | 29.1 | 24.5 | 24.9 | (9.0) | 8.6 | 18.3 | 24.1 | 42.5 | (16.9) | (7.9) |
| EPS (Diluted) | 0.90 | 0.86 | 0.74 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 0.68 | 0.67 | -0.23 | 0.22 | 0.47 | 0.62 | 1.24 | -0.45 | -0.21 |
| Balance Sheet | ||||||||||||||
| Cash & Equivalents | 6.2 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 20.5 | 30.0 | 13.2 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 2.2 | ||||
| Total Assets | 606.6 | 592.0 | 592.3 | 597.2 | 613.8 | 605.2 | 624.8 | 450.2 | 442.7 | 471.3 | ||||
| Total Debt | 239.6 | 263.0 | 273.3 | 252.9 | 233.5 | 263.1 | 311.0 | 74.2 | 93.3 | 104.5 | ||||
| Stockholders' Equity | 291.1 | 260.7 | 250.7 | 281.1 | 310.6 | 277.6 | 245.6 | 265.2 | 274.9 | 265.2 | ||||
| Cash Flow | ||||||||||||||
| Operating Cash Flow | 48.1 | 46.8 | 40.7 | 38.5 | 52.1 | 40.5 | 36.1 | 45.4 | 53.7 | 49.3 | ||||
| Capital Expenditure | (22.6) | (19.1) | (21.3) | (19.9) | (17.0) | (6.7) | (15.4) | (27.8) | (36.2) | (37.4) | ||||
| Free Cash Flow | 25.4 | 27.7 | 19.4 | 18.6 | 35.1 | 33.9 | 20.7 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 11.9 | ||||