El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. logo LOCO - El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $13.50
MEDIAN: $14.25
CONSENSUS: $14.25
UPSIDE: 1.28%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C+ 57.3 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
D+ 42.9
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 5.2% 36/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.14 pp/yr 59/100
Contributes 8.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B 70.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 8.8% 54/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -5.1% 100/100
Contributes 10.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
C- 46.1
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 1.9% 36/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 3.0% 40/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 6.9 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B 72.4
  • 5yr FCF Margin 5.4% 51/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.98x 98/100
Contributes 10.9 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
C- 48.2
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 3.99x 30/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 9.50x 83/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.93 39/100
Contributes 9.6 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
B 71.7
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.31 56/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 10.8 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

2 of 2 gurus held; 1 new buy; 1 added.

Holders
2 +1
Avg Δ position
+36.9%
New buys
1
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.