The Coca-Cola Company logo KO - The Coca-Cola Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 29
HOLD 16
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $95.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $104.00
LOW: $86.00
MEDIAN: $95.00
CONSENSUS: $95.75
UPSIDE: 6.26%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 41.1% above fair value
Current Price $90.11
Bear Case $54.72 39.3% downside ($54.72 - $90.11) / $90.11 = -39.3% $3.04 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $63.84 29.2% downside ($63.84 - $90.11) / $90.11 = -29.2% $3.04 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $72.96 19.0% downside ($72.96 - $90.11) / $90.11 = -19.0% $3.04 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
3.04$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 29.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.04, the base-case value is $63.84 per share. DDM cross-check: $52.32.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (48 analysts) $95.75
Analyst Range $86.00 – $104.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 33%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $95.75 (from 48 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples