KO - The Coca-Cola Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$86.29
DETAILS
HIGH:
$89.00
LOW:
$83.00
MEDIAN:
$87.00
CONSENSUS:
$86.29
UPSIDE:
5.90%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.0x
3.28$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
24.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $86.29 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $74.09 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $52.37 (below our primary estimate by 24%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples