The Coca-Cola Company logo KO - The Coca-Cola Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 29
HOLD 16
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $86.38 DETAILS
HIGH: $89.00
LOW: $83.00
MEDIAN: $87.00
CONSENSUS: $86.38
UPSIDE: 3.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 12.6% above fair value
Current Price $83.49
Bear Case $63.52 23.9% downside ($63.52 - $83.49) / $83.49 = -23.9% $3.28 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $74.12 11.2% downside ($74.12 - $83.49) / $83.49 = -11.2% $3.28 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $84.71 1.5% upside ($84.71 - $83.49) / $83.49 = 1.5% $3.28 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
3.28$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 25.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $86.38 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $74.12 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $52.37 (below our primary estimate by 24%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples