IT - Gartner, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$176.70
DETAILS
HIGH:
$240.00
LOW:
$140.00
MEDIAN:
$170.00
CONSENSUS:
$176.70
UPSIDE:
10.43%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
5.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (5% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
35%
Implied Market Multiple
11.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $176.70 from 18 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $201.66 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions