Forward S&P 500 Earnings Estimates Power Higher Once Again; Quick Notes On IBM And Ford
One key part of last week's blog post was the late 1990s “tech market cap vs. earnings (EPS) weight”. Today, the tech sector's market cap is roughly 37%, versus the earnings weight of 30.8%, while in March 2000, the tech sector's market cap weight was 33-35%, while the earnings weight was just 13%. For semiconductors and semi-cap equipment, which has been the tech sector's juice this year, the semiconductors complex's market cap weight is 18.7%, while its earnings weight in mid-May '26 is 15.1%. There is still no slowdown in forward EPS estimates for the S&P 500.