Harley-Davidson, Inc. logo HOG - Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 23
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $33.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $30.00
CONSENSUS: $27.60
DOWNSIDE: 2.13%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B 70.0 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
D- 27.4
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 5.8% 39/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.13 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 4.1 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 93.8
  • 5yr Avg ROE 19.6% 91/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -4.7% 99/100
Contributes 14.1 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
B- 63.4
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 2.0% 37/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 219.2% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 6.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A- 84.6
  • 5yr FCF Margin 11.7% 74/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.15x 97/100
Contributes 12.7 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A- 82.4
  • Net Debt / EBITDA -0.06x 95/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 14.72x 92/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.21 48/100
Contributes 20.6 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C+ 61.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.40 43/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
Contributes 12.2 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

4 of 4 gurus held; 2 added; 2 trimmed.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
-10.1%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.