Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. logo HGV - Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $48.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $55.00
LOW: $40.00
MEDIAN: $49.00
CONSENSUS: $48.25
DOWNSIDE: 0.33%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C 52.2 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
F 19.5
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 3.6% 28/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.46 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 4.9 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A- 83.9
  • 5yr Avg ROE 15.0% 80/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.5% 91/100
Contributes 12.6 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
B- 65.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 21.3% 100/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -15.4% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 16.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
B- 68.8
  • 5yr FCF Margin 7.5% 60/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 2.04x 79/100
Contributes 13.8 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
F 12.8
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 8.93x 0/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 1.56x 21/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.44 26/100
Contributes 1.3 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
B- 68.1
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.45 36/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
Contributes 3.4 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

1 of 2 gurus held; 1 added; 1 full exit.

Holders
1 -1
Avg Δ position
+2.6%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.