HCC - Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Price:
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--
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$112.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$120.00
LOW:
$105.00
MEDIAN:
$112.50
CONSENSUS:
$112.50
UPSIDE:
34.04%
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 1,309.9 | 1,525.2 | 1,676.6 | 1,738.7 | 1,059.2 | 782.7 | 1,268.3 | 1,378.0 | 1,169.1 | 369.0 | 544.7 |
| Cost of Revenue | 1,198.6 | 45.4 | 1,075.1 | 852.9 | 724.6 | 777.0 | 847.9 | 726.8 | 621.0 | 423.6 | 629.0 |
| Gross Profit | 111.2 | 1,479.8 | 601.5 | 885.8 | 334.6 | 5.7 | 420.4 | 651.2 | 548.1 | (54.6) | (84.3) |
| Operating Expenses | |||||||||||
| R&D Expenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SG&A Expenses | 65.7 | 63.1 | 51.8 | 48.8 | 35.6 | 32.9 | 37.0 | 36.6 | 36.5 | 29.5 | 69.8 |
| Other Expenses | 0 | 1,161.8 | 8.3 | 35.6 | 55.3 | 0 | 0 | 97.2 | 75.4 | 0 | 123.6 |
| Operating Expenses | 65.7 | 1,224.9 | 60.1 | 84.4 | 90.9 | 32.9 | 37.0 | 133.8 | 111.9 | 29.5 | 193.5 |
| Operating Income | |||||||||||
| Operating Income | 45.6 | 254.9 | 541.4 | 801.4 | 243.8 | (27.1) | 383.4 | 508.3 | 423.4 | (84.1) | (319.5) |
| Interest Expense | 9.7 | 4.3 | 18.0 | 31.4 | 36.5 | 32.3 | 29.3 | 37.3 | 6.9 | 0 | 51.1 |
| Interest Income | 18.5 | 33.0 | 40.7 | 12.4 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Profitability | |||||||||||
| EBITDA | 235.9 | 447.4 | 696.7 | 929.8 | 377.9 | 94.5 | 493.8 | 508.3 | 423.4 | (12.8) | (176.7) |
| EBIT | 45.6 | 287.9 | 569.4 | 814.5 | 236.5 | (23.6) | 396.5 | 514.7 | 423.4 | (93.2) | (300.3) |
| Income Before Tax | 54.4 | 283.7 | 551.4 | 783.1 | 200.0 | (55.9) | 367.1 | 471.0 | 416.5 | (111.5) | (351.4) |
| Income Tax Expense | (2.6) | 33.1 | 72.8 | 141.8 | 49.1 | (20.1) | 65.4 | (225.8) | (38.6) | 0.0 | (40.8) |
| Net Income | 57.0 | 250.6 | 478.6 | 641.3 | 150.9 | (35.8) | 301.7 | 696.8 | 455.0 | (111.5) | (310.6) |
| Per Share Data | |||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | 1.08 | 4.79 | 9.21 | 12.42 | 2.94 | -0.70 | 5.87 | 13.19 | 8.62 | -2.12 | -5.90 |
| EPS (Diluted) | 1.08 | 4.79 | 9.20 | 12.40 | 2.93 | -0.70 | 5.86 | 13.17 | 8.62 | -2.12 | -5.90 |
| Shares Outstanding | 52.6 | 52.3 | 52.0 | 51.6 | 51.4 | 51.2 | 51.4 | 52.8 | 52.8 | 52.6 | 52.7 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Assets | ||||||||||
| Cash & Cash Equivalents | 300.0 | 491.5 | 738.2 | 829.5 | 395.8 | 211.9 | 193.4 | 205.6 | 35.5 | 150.0 |
| Short-Term Investments | 53.3 | 14.6 | 9.0 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 14.7 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 |
| Net Receivables | 182.3 | 141.6 | 110.4 | 155.5 | 130.1 | 88.4 | 114.2 | 139.8 | 132.2 | 71.8 |
| Inventory | 235.9 | 207.6 | 183.9 | 154.0 | 59.6 | 118.7 | 97.9 | 56.7 | 54.3 | 39.4 |
| Other Current Assets | 48.8 | 28.1 | 25.6 | 24.1 | 30.8 | 29.1 | 19.9 | 46.3 | 23.4 | 7.9 |
| Total Current Assets | 820.3 | 887.1 | 1,069.2 | 1,173.1 | 627.2 | 467.5 | 444.0 | 469.2 | 268.9 | 290.8 |
| Non-Current Assets | ||||||||||
| Property, Plant & Equipment | 1,817.4 | 1,549.5 | 1,260.1 | 827.6 | 696.6 | 738.0 | 716.3 | 660.7 | 666.7 | 640.2 |
| Goodwill | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Intangible Assets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Long-Term Investments | 7.9 | 44.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22.1 | 40.0 | 2.6 |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 135.3 | 107.2 | 22.0 | 19.8 | 15.1 | 14.1 | 29.6 | 42.3 | 57.4 | 14.1 |
| Total Non-Current Assets | 1,963.5 | 1,704.5 | 1,287.9 | 855.0 | 837.0 | 926.5 | 900.2 | 925.9 | 724.4 | 656.9 |
| Total Assets | 2,783.8 | 2,591.5 | 2,357.1 | 2,028.1 | 1,464.2 | 1,393.9 | 1,344.3 | 1,395.0 | 993.3 | 947.6 |
| Current Liabilities | ||||||||||
| Account Payables | 66.1 | 40.2 | 36.2 | 39.0 | 33.8 | 59.1 | 46.4 | 33.6 | 28.1 | 6.0 |
| Short-Term Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Deferred Revenue | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82.3 | 66.7 | 50.4 |
| Other Current Liabilities | 152.4 | 115.7 | 18.4 | 12.6 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 8.8 | 8.4 |
| Total Current Liabilities | 257.0 | 170.4 | 147.7 | 153.1 | 122.1 | 170.3 | 129.0 | 124.4 | 108.2 | 64.6 |
| Non-Current Liabilities | ||||||||||
| Long-Term Debt | 154.3 | 153.6 | 153.0 | 302.6 | 339.8 | 379.9 | 339.2 | 468.2 | 342.9 | 3.7 |
| Deferred Tax Liabilities | 54.2 | 63.8 | 74.5 | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 104.1 | 0.3 | 1.9 |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 98.8 | 106.6 | 98.6 | 92.5 | 101.9 | 94.4 | 85.0 | 89.8 | 129.1 | 1.2 |
| Total Non-Current Liabilities | 385.4 | 330.3 | 334.9 | 427.5 | 470.1 | 498.4 | 449.7 | 558.0 | 472.1 | 130.0 |
| Total Liabilities | 642.4 | 500.7 | 482.6 | 580.6 | 592.2 | 668.7 | 578.7 | 682.4 | 580.3 | 194.7 |
| Stockholders' Equity | ||||||||||
| Common Stock | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 802.6 |
| Retained Earnings | 1,890.7 | 1,851.0 | 1,645.1 | 1,227.6 | 666.0 | 525.5 | 571.7 | 510.3 | 82.5 | (49.7) |
| Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (208.2) | (125.9) | (45.4) |
| Total Stockholders' Equity | 2,141.4 | 2,090.8 | 1,874.4 | 1,447.5 | 872.0 | 725.2 | 765.6 | 712.6 | 413.0 | 753.0 |
| Total Liabilities & Equity | 2,783.8 | 2,591.5 | 2,357.1 | 2,028.1 | 1,464.2 | 1,393.9 | 1,344.3 | 1,395.0 | 993.3 | 947.6 |
| Debt Metrics | ||||||||||
| Total Debt | 270.9 | 173.0 | 173.2 | 335.7 | 391.9 | 418.4 | 374.9 | 469.0 | 345.9 | 6.6 |
| Net Debt | (29.0) | (318.5) | (565.0) | (493.8) | (4.0) | 206.5 | 181.5 | 263.4 | 310.4 | (143.5) |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Activities | ||||||||||
| Net Income | 57.0 | 250.6 | 478.6 | 641.3 | 150.9 | (35.8) | 301.7 | 696.8 | 455.0 | (111.5) |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 1.6 | 159.4 | 2.1 | 3.2 | (58.5) | 118.1 | 97.3 | 97.2 | 75.4 | 80.4 |
| Stock-Based Compensation | 20.0 | 22.1 | 18.2 | 17.6 | 9.4 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Change in Working Capital | (30.0) | (60.0) | 5.7 | (83.2) | (15.7) | 38.6 | 56.3 | (0.5) | (102.2) | (12.7) |
| Other Non-Cash Items | 190.2 | 3.4 | 143.6 | 121.3 | 216.3 | 4.2 | 3.2 | (17.5) | 3.7 | 204.7 |
| Operating Cash Flow | 229.2 | 367.4 | 701.1 | 841.9 | 351.5 | 112.6 | 532.8 | 559.4 | 434.5 | (49.9) |
| Investing Activities | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | (320.3) | (457.2) | (491.7) | (208.7) | (57.9) | (87.5) | (107.3) | (98.7) | (92.6) | (17.0) |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | (2.4) | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 0 | (24.1) |
| Purchases of Investments | 6.4 | (49.7) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (8.5) | (24.2) | 0 | 0 | (17.5) |
| Sales/Maturities of Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.7 | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 9.4 |
| Other Investing Activities | (91.3) | (31.1) | (33.1) | (48.9) | (13.5) | (26.9) | (30.1) | (8.9) | 0 | 12.9 |
| Investing Cash Flow | (405.1) | (538.0) | (527.2) | (255.1) | (71.1) | (108.2) | (134.2) | (107.6) | (92.6) | (36.3) |
| Financing Activities | ||||||||||
| Net Debt Issuance | 11.8 | (12.9) | (194.7) | (69.7) | (83.0) | 25.8 | (157.5) | 125.7 | 341.2 | (0.2) |
| Stock Repurchased | (9.4) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (12.5) | (38.0) | 0 | 0 |
| Dividends Paid | (17.8) | (43.8) | (61.1) | (79.7) | (10.5) | (10.4) | (240.4) | (360.6) | (796.9) | 0 |
| Other Financing Activities | 0 | (11.8) | (9.4) | (3.7) | (3.0) | (1.3) | (1.1) | (8.7) | (2.6) | (13.3) |
| Financing Cash Flow | (15.4) | (68.5) | (265.2) | (153.1) | (96.5) | 14.1 | (411.6) | (281.6) | (458.3) | 186.5 |
| Cash Position | ||||||||||
| Net Change in Cash | (191.3) | (239.1) | (91.3) | 433.6 | 183.9 | 18.5 | (13.0) | 170.1 | (116.4) | 65.6 |
| Cash at Beginning | 499.1 | 738.2 | 829.5 | 395.8 | 211.9 | 193.4 | 206.4 | 36.3 | 152.7 | 84.5 |
| Cash at End | 307.8 | 499.1 | 738.2 | 829.5 | 395.8 | 211.9 | 193.4 | 206.4 | 36.3 | 150.0 |
| Free Cash Flow | (91.0) | (89.8) | 209.4 | 633.2 | 293.6 | 25.1 | 425.5 | 460.7 | 341.9 | (66.8) |
| Key Metrics | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 1,309.9 | 1,525.2 | 1,676.6 | 1,738.7 | 1,059.2 | 782.7 | 1,268.3 | 1,378.0 | 1,169.1 | 369.0 | 544.7 |
| Gross Profit | 111.2 | 1,479.8 | 601.5 | 885.8 | 334.6 | 5.7 | 420.4 | 651.2 | 548.1 | (54.6) | (84.3) |
| Operating Income | 45.6 | 254.9 | 541.4 | 801.4 | 243.8 | (27.1) | 383.4 | 508.3 | 423.4 | (84.1) | (319.5) |
| Net Income | 57.0 | 250.6 | 478.6 | 641.3 | 150.9 | (35.8) | 301.7 | 696.8 | 455.0 | (111.5) | (310.6) |
| EPS (Diluted) | 1.08 | 4.79 | 9.20 | 12.40 | 2.93 | -0.70 | 5.86 | 13.17 | 8.62 | -2.12 | -5.90 |
| Balance Sheet | |||||||||||
| Cash & Equivalents | 300.0 | 491.5 | 738.2 | 829.5 | 395.8 | 211.9 | 193.4 | 205.6 | 35.5 | 150.0 | |
| Total Assets | 2,783.8 | 2,591.5 | 2,357.1 | 2,028.1 | 1,464.2 | 1,393.9 | 1,344.3 | 1,395.0 | 993.3 | 947.6 | |
| Total Debt | 270.9 | 173.0 | 173.2 | 335.7 | 391.9 | 418.4 | 374.9 | 469.0 | 345.9 | 6.6 | |
| Stockholders' Equity | 2,141.4 | 2,090.8 | 1,874.4 | 1,447.5 | 872.0 | 725.2 | 765.6 | 712.6 | 413.0 | 753.0 | |
| Cash Flow | |||||||||||
| Operating Cash Flow | 229.2 | 367.4 | 701.1 | 841.9 | 351.5 | 112.6 | 532.8 | 559.4 | 434.5 | (49.9) | |
| Capital Expenditure | (320.3) | (457.2) | (491.7) | (208.7) | (57.9) | (87.5) | (107.3) | (98.7) | (92.6) | (17.0) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (91.0) | (89.8) | 209.4 | 633.2 | 293.6 | 25.1 | 425.5 | 460.7 | 341.9 | (66.8) | |