Is HCC a high-quality business?

AlphaMadera's AlphaQuality grade scores Warrior Met Coal, Inc. on six pillars — profitability, capital efficiency, balance-sheet strength, growth durability, cash generation, and shareholder yield. The composite letter grade reflects how HCC compares to a Buffett-style quality bar.

What is Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s AlphaQuality grade?

AlphaQuality assigns a letter grade (A through F) to HCC based on a six-pillar quantitative model. The live page shows the composite grade plus each pillar's individual score with the underlying metrics.

What makes HCC a quality stock?

AlphaQuality looks at return on capital, free-cash-flow margins, debt-to-equity, revenue stability, dividend and buyback policy, and operating-margin trend. Stocks scoring well across all six pillars earn higher grades — the methodology favors compounders over cyclicals.

HCC - Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $112.50 DETAILS

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Other Commodity Producers

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C+ 61.0 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for other commodity producers businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%

C+ 58.0

5yr Avg ROIC 16.2% 83/100
Operating Margin Trend -6.85 pp/yr 0/100

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%

B 70.3

5yr Avg ROE 14.7% 79/100
5yr Share-Count CAGR 0.6% 54/100

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%

D 36.0

5yr Revenue CAGR 5.5% 62/100
5yr EPS CAGR -22.1% 0/100
Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%

C 54.9

5yr FCF Margin 12.8% 77/100
5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.28x 28/100

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%

A 87.1

Net Debt / EBITDA -0.35x 97/100
Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 4.68x 62/100
Altman Z-Score 6.25 100/100

Stability

Weight: 20%

D+ 40.0

EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.60 22/100
Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100

5 of 5 gurus held; 2 added; 3 trimmed.

Holders: 5
Avg Δ position: +19.0%
New buys: 0
Full exits: 0

Dalio increased +258%
Wood decreased -86%
Cooperman decreased -76%

How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.