DKS - DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$251.43
DETAILS
HIGH:
$300.00
LOW:
$210.00
MEDIAN:
$253.00
CONSENSUS:
$251.43
UPSIDE:
8.73%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
10.6%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (11% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
53.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $251.43 from 64 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $123.22 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $251.43 (from 64 analysts). Our estimate is 78% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions