Dominion Energy, Inc. logo DCUE - Dominion Energy, Inc.

Inactive Ticker DCUE is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 11
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $73.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $77.00
LOW: $69.00
MEDIAN: $73.00
CONSENSUS: $73.00
DOWNSIDE: 28.16%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 93.5% above fair value
Current Price $101.61
Bear Case $45.95 54.8% downside ($45.95 - $101.61) / $101.61 = -54.8% $2.86 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $52.51 48.3% downside ($52.51 - $101.61) / $101.61 = -48.3% $2.86 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $59.07 41.9% downside ($59.07 - $101.61) / $101.61 = -41.9% $2.86 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
2.86$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 35.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $73.00 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $52.51 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 47487%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 120867% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $73.00 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples