AvalonBay Communities, Inc. logo AVB - AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 23
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $191.27 DETAILS
HIGH: $205.00
LOW: $172.00
MEDIAN: $190.00
CONSENSUS: $191.27
UPSIDE: 3.03%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Real Estate Investment Trust

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B 69.0 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for real estate investment trust businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
A+ 99.7

Scored using FFO margin — REIT-archetype substitution.

  • FFO Margin 64.7% 100/100
Contributes 19.9 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
C 55.6
  • 5yr Avg ROE 9.0% 55/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 0.4% 57/100
Contributes 8.3 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
B- 67.4

Scored using FFO/share — REIT-archetype substitution.

  • 5yr FFO/Share CAGR 2.3% 53/100
  • Positive-FFO Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 10.1 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
D- 28.7

Scored using AFFO dividend coverage — REIT substitution.

  • AFFO Dividend Coverage 0.00x 0/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI 1.25x 96/100
Contributes 4.3 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
B 73.5

Scored using Debt/Assets — REIT-archetype substitution.

  • Debt / Assets 42.0% 78/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 5.07x 65/100
Contributes 18.4 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 10%
B+ 79.7
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.13 81/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 8.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

4 of 4 gurus held; 2 new buys; 2 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
4 +1
Avg Δ position
-54.0%
New buys
2
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — FFO Margin
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr FFO/Share CAGR, Positive-FFO Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — AFFO Dividend Coverage, 5yr FCF/NI
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Debt / Assets, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int)
  • Stability (10%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.