Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. logo AMBP - Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $5.10 DETAILS
HIGH: $5.20
LOW: $5.00
MEDIAN: $5.10
CONSENSUS: $5.10
DOWNSIDE: 4.85%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C- 46.4 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
C- 45.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 4.1% 30/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.81 pp/yr 79/100
Contributes 6.8 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
F 23.7
  • 5yr Avg ROE -23.8% 0/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.2% 68/100
Contributes 3.6 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
A- 85.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 9.8% 79/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 8.6 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
D+ 43.6
  • 5yr FCF Margin 0.2% 26/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 11.22x 65/100
Contributes 6.5 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
F 13.1
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 5.76x 9/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 1.02x 14/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.18 19/100
Contributes 3.3 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
A 87.9
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
Contributes 17.6 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Accumulating

2 of 3 gurus held; 2 added; 1 full exit.

Holders
2 -1
Avg Δ position
+149.0%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.