Is AMBP a high-quality business?

AlphaMadera's AlphaQuality grade scores Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. on six pillars — profitability, capital efficiency, balance-sheet strength, growth durability, cash generation, and shareholder yield. The composite letter grade reflects how AMBP compares to a Buffett-style quality bar.

What is Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s AlphaQuality grade?

AlphaQuality assigns a letter grade (A through F) to AMBP based on a six-pillar quantitative model. The live page shows the composite grade plus each pillar's individual score with the underlying metrics.

What makes AMBP a quality stock?

AlphaQuality looks at return on capital, free-cash-flow margins, debt-to-equity, revenue stability, dividend and buyback policy, and operating-margin trend. Stocks scoring well across all six pillars earn higher grades — the methodology favors compounders over cyclicals.

AMBP - Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $4.52 DETAILS

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

D+ 43.3 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%

C- 47.0

5yr Avg ROIC 4.6% 33/100
Operating Margin Trend +0.81 pp/yr 79/100

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%

F 15.1

5yr Avg ROE 0.0% 10/100
5yr Share-Count CAGR 2.6% 25/100

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%

C+ 60.5

5yr Revenue CAGR 7.9% 75/100
5yr EPS CAGR 0.0% 20/100
Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%

D+ 43.6

5yr FCF Margin 0.2% 26/100
5yr FCF/NI Conversion 11.22x 65/100

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%

F 16.0

Net Debt / EBITDA 5.27x 13/100
Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 1.32x 18/100
Altman Z-Score 1.18 20/100

Stability

Weight: 20%

A- 86.7

EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.00 100/100
Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100

3 of 3 gurus held; 2 new buys; 1 trimmed.

Holders: 3 +2
Avg Δ position: -30.9%
New buys: 2
Full exits: 0

Cooperman new
Laffont new
Wood decreased -31%

How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.