Agilent Technologies, Inc. logo A - Agilent Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 28
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $163.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $180.00
LOW: $140.00
MEDIAN: $165.00
CONSENSUS: $163.33
UPSIDE: 42.08%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 16.7% above fair value
Current Price $114.96
Bear Case $78.80 31.5% downside ($78.80 - $114.96) / $114.96 = -31.5% $4.71 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $98.48 14.3% downside ($98.48 - $114.96) / $114.96 = -14.3% $4.71 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $118.18 2.8% upside ($118.18 - $114.96) / $114.96 = 2.8% $4.71 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
4.71$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 24.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $163.33 from 38 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $98.48 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $27.90 (below our primary estimate by 61%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $163.33 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples