Agilent Technologies, Inc. logo A - Agilent Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 32
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $168.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $185.00
LOW: $150.00
MEDIAN: $173.50
CONSENSUS: $168.75
UPSIDE: 11.87%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 120.0% above fair value
Current Price $150.84
Bear Case $54.84 63.6% downside ($54.84 - $150.84) / $150.84 = -63.6% $4.57 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $68.55 54.6% downside ($68.55 - $150.84) / $150.84 = -54.6% $4.57 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $82.26 45.5% downside ($82.26 - $150.84) / $150.84 = -45.5% $4.57 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
4.57$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 33.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.57, the base-case value is $68.55 per share. DDM cross-check: $27.90.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (41 analysts) $168.75
Analyst Range $150.00 – $185.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 59%

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $27.90 (below our primary estimate by 59%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $168.75 (from 41 analysts). Our estimate is 59% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples