Agilent Technologies, Inc. logo A - Agilent Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 31
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $153.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $165.00
LOW: $140.00
MEDIAN: $152.50
CONSENSUS: $153.25
UPSIDE: 14.12%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 40.7% above fair value
Current Price $134.29
Bear Case $76.37 43.1% downside ($76.37 - $134.29) / $134.29 = -43.1% $4.71 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $95.47 28.9% downside ($95.47 - $134.29) / $134.29 = -28.9% $4.71 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $114.56 14.7% downside ($114.56 - $134.29) / $134.29 = -14.7% $4.71 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
4.71$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 28.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $153.25 from 41 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $95.47 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $27.90 (below our primary estimate by 61%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $153.25 (from 41 analysts). Our estimate is 54% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples