Zoetis Inc. logo ZTS - Zoetis Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 14
HOLD 16
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $110.57 DETAILS
HIGH: $160.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $99.00
CONSENSUS: $110.57
UPSIDE: 46.33%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 19.6% below fair value
Current Price $75.56
Bear Case $80.59 6.7% upside ($80.59 - $75.56) / $75.56 = 6.7% $6.21 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $94.02 24.4% upside ($94.02 - $75.56) / $75.56 = 24.4% $6.21 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $107.46 42.2% upside ($107.46 - $75.56) / $75.56 = 42.2% $6.21 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
6.21$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $110.57 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $94.02 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples