Zoetis Inc. logo ZTS - Zoetis Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 14
HOLD 17
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $85.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $74.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $85.43
UPSIDE: 7.34%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 5.6% below fair value
Current Price $79.59
Bear Case $72.24 9.2% downside ($72.24 - $79.59) / $79.59 = -9.2% $6.02 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $84.28 5.9% upside ($84.28 - $79.59) / $79.59 = 5.9% $6.02 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $96.32 21.0% upside ($96.32 - $79.59) / $79.59 = 21.0% $6.02 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
6.02$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.02, the base-case value is $84.28 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (32 analysts) $85.43
Analyst Range $74.00 – $95.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples