Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. logo ZBH - Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 21
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $96.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $120.00
LOW: $83.00
MEDIAN: $93.00
CONSENSUS: $96.33
UPSIDE: 12.67%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 2.7% below fair value
Current Price $85.50
Bear Case $70.32 17.8% downside ($70.32 - $85.50) / $85.50 = -17.8% $5.62 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $87.90 2.8% upside ($87.90 - $85.50) / $85.50 = 2.8% $5.62 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $105.48 23.4% upside ($105.48 - $85.50) / $85.50 = 23.4% $5.62 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
5.62$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $96.33 from 42 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $87.90 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 58%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples