Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. logo ZBH - Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 22
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $103.11 DETAILS
HIGH: $120.00
LOW: $93.00
MEDIAN: $104.00
CONSENSUS: $103.11
UPSIDE: 5.14%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 84.2% above fair value
Current Price $98.07
Bear Case $42.60 56.6% downside ($42.60 - $98.07) / $98.07 = -56.6% $3.55 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $53.25 45.7% downside ($53.25 - $98.07) / $98.07 = -45.7% $3.55 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $63.90 34.8% downside ($63.90 - $98.07) / $98.07 = -34.8% $3.55 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.55$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 27.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.55, the base-case value is $53.25 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (42 analysts) $103.11
Analyst Range $93.00 – $120.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 48%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $103.11 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 48% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples