AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Xylem Inc. as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag XYL as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Xylem Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for XYL comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value XYL?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. XYL was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from XYL's most recent reported fundamentals.

XYL - Xylem Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $152.38 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong

Trading 50.8% above fair value

Current Price $111.42

Bear Case $59.10 47.0% downside ($59.10 - $111.42) / $111.42 = -47.0% $3.92 × 15x P/E

Fair Value $73.88 33.7% downside ($73.88 - $111.42) / $111.42 = -33.7% $3.92 × 19x P/E

Bull Case $88.65 20.4% downside ($88.65 - $111.42) / $111.42 = -20.4% $3.92 × 23x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

18.8x

Adjusted EPS

3.92$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 28.4x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 19x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.92, the base-case value is $73.88 per share. DDM cross-check: $329.35.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (40 analysts) $152.38

Analyst Range $130.00 – $165.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 52%

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $329.35 (above our primary estimate by 346%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $152.38 (from 40 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples