WesBanco, Inc. logo WSBC - WesBanco, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 7
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $43.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $46.00
LOW: $41.00
MEDIAN: $43.50
CONSENSUS: $43.50
UPSIDE: 6.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 5.4% above fair value
Current Price $40.73
Bear Case $27.05 33.6% downside ($27.05 - $40.73) / $40.73 = -33.6% ROTCE 7.2% → 0.79x TBV
Fair Value $38.64 5.1% downside ($38.64 - $40.73) / $40.73 = -5.1% ROTCE 9.7% → 1.38x TBV
Bull Case $50.23 23.3% upside ($50.23 - $40.73) / $40.73 = 23.3% ROTCE 11.1% → 1.74x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

9.7%
8.1%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (9.7%) vs. cost of equity (8.1%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.69x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 9.7% vs. 8.1% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.38x on $24.07 tangible book, implying $38.64 per share. DDM cross-check: $27.33.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (16 analysts) $43.50
Analyst Range $41.00 – $46.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 11%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $27.33 (29% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly