WesBanco, Inc. logo WSBC - WesBanco, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $45.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $46.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $45.00
CONSENSUS: $45.00
UPSIDE: 21.75%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 4.3% below fair value
Current Price $36.96
Bear Case $27.05 26.8% downside ($27.05 - $36.96) / $36.96 = -26.8% ROTCE 7.2% → 0.77x TBV
Fair Value $38.64 4.5% upside ($38.64 - $36.96) / $36.96 = 4.5% ROTCE 9.7% → 1.35x TBV
Bull Case $50.23 35.9% upside ($50.23 - $36.96) / $36.96 = 35.9% ROTCE 11.1% → 1.70x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

9.7%
8.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (9.7%) vs. cost of equity (8.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.54x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 9.7% vs. 8.2% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.35x on $24.07 tangible book, implying $38.64 per share. DDM cross-check: $26.87.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (16 analysts) $45.00
Analyst Range $44.00 – $46.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 14%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $26.87 (30% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly