WesBanco, Inc. logo WSBC - WesBanco, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 8
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $41.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $42.00
LOW: $41.00
MEDIAN: $41.50
CONSENSUS: $41.50
UPSIDE: 20.08%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 12.2% below fair value
Current Price $34.56
Bear Case $27.55 20.3% downside ($27.55 - $34.56) / $34.56 = -20.3% ROTCE 7.2% → 0.77x TBV
Fair Value $39.36 13.9% upside ($39.36 - $34.56) / $34.56 = 13.9% ROTCE 9.7% → 1.35x TBV
Bull Case $51.16 48.0% upside ($51.16 - $34.56) / $34.56 = 48.0% ROTCE 11.1% → 1.69x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

9.7%
8.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (9.7%) vs. cost of equity (8.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.44x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $41.50 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $39.36 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $26.75 (31% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly