World Acceptance Corporation logo WRLD - World Acceptance Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 5
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 70% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 68.4% below fair value
Current Price $199.78
Bear Case $527.41 164.0% upside ($527.41 - $199.78) / $199.78 = 164.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $632.23 216.5% upside ($632.23 - $199.78) / $199.78 = 216.5% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $722.37 261.6% upside ($722.37 - $199.78) / $199.78 = 261.6% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 6.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) -6.7% vs our 5.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $632.23 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 56% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions