Verint Systems Inc. logo VRNT - Verint Systems Inc.

Inactive Ticker VRNT is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $32.57 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $20.50
MEDIAN: $30.00
CONSENSUS: $32.57
UPSIDE: 58.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 43.0% below fair value
Current Price $20.51
Bear Case $30.15 47.0% upside ($30.15 - $20.51) / $20.51 = 47.0% $1.15 × 27x P/E
Fair Value $36.01 75.6% upside ($36.01 - $20.51) / $20.51 = 75.6% $1.15 × 32x P/E
Bull Case $41.88 104.2% upside ($41.88 - $20.51) / $20.51 = 104.2% $1.15 × 38x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

32.2x
1.15$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $32.57 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $36.01 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples