Voya Financial, Inc. logo VOYA - Voya Financial, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 10
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $90.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $88.00
MEDIAN: $90.00
CONSENSUS: $90.67
UPSIDE: 11.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 65.9% below fair value
Current Price $81.53
Bear Case $191.11 134.4% upside ($191.11 - $81.53) / $81.53 = 134.4% $13.32 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $238.88 193.0% upside ($238.88 - $81.53) / $81.53 = 193.0% $13.32 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $286.66 251.6% upside ($286.66 - $81.53) / $81.53 = 251.6% $13.32 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.6x
13.32$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $90.67 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $238.88 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 111%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $90.67 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 218% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples