Viavi Solutions Inc. logo VIAV - Viavi Solutions Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $58.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $66.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $58.67
UPSIDE: 68.30%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.0% below fair value
Current Price $34.86
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $34.86) / $34.86 = -100.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $34.86) / $34.86 = -100.0% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $34.86) / $34.86 = -100.0% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 0%

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $0.00 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $58.67
Analyst Range $50.00 – $66.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 100%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $58.67 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 42% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions