V.F. Corporation logo VFC - V.F. Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 25
HOLD 29
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $20.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $20.50
UPSIDE: 22.75%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.0% below fair value
Current Price $16.70
Bear Case $16.91 1.2% upside ($16.91 - $16.70) / $16.70 = 1.2% $1.43 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $21.14 26.6% upside ($21.14 - $16.70) / $16.70 = 26.6% $1.43 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $25.37 51.9% upside ($25.37 - $16.70) / $16.70 = 51.9% $1.43 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.43$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $20.50 from 58 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $21.14 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 124%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples