V.F. Corporation logo VFC - V.F. Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 25
HOLD 29
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.44 DETAILS
HIGH: $24.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $19.44
UPSIDE: 44.54%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 40.1% above fair value
Current Price $13.45
Bear Case $7.68 42.9% downside ($7.68 - $13.45) / $13.45 = -42.9% $0.64 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $9.60 28.6% downside ($9.60 - $13.45) / $13.45 = -28.6% $0.64 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $11.52 14.3% downside ($11.52 - $13.45) / $13.45 = -14.3% $0.64 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.64$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 21.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.64, the base-case value is $9.60 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (58 analysts) $19.44
Analyst Range $16.00 – $24.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 51%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $19.44 (from 58 analysts). Our estimate is 51% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples