V.F. Corporation logo VFC - V.F. Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 26
HOLD 29
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.45 DETAILS
HIGH: $23.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $17.00
CONSENSUS: $18.45
UPSIDE: 7.58%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 78.6% above fair value
Current Price $17.15
Bear Case $7.68 55.2% downside ($7.68 - $17.15) / $17.15 = -55.2% $0.64 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $9.60 44.0% downside ($9.60 - $17.15) / $17.15 = -44.0% $0.64 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $11.52 32.8% downside ($11.52 - $17.15) / $17.15 = -32.8% $0.64 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.64$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 26.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.64, the base-case value is $9.60 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (58 analysts) $18.45
Analyst Range $14.00 – $23.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 48%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $18.45 (from 58 analysts). Our estimate is 48% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples