Veeva Systems Inc. logo VEEV - Veeva Systems Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 29
HOLD 12
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $254.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $295.00
LOW: $205.00
MEDIAN: $275.00
CONSENSUS: $254.60
UPSIDE: 58.96%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 39.3% below fair value
Current Price $160.17
Bear Case $174.46 8.9% upside ($174.46 - $160.17) / $160.17 = 8.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $263.75 64.7% upside ($263.75 - $160.17) / $160.17 = 64.7% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $367.82 129.6% upside ($367.82 - $160.17) / $160.17 = 129.6% 22% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 19.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $254.60 from 42 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $263.75 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 52% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions