Veeva Systems Inc. logo VEEV - Veeva Systems Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 29
HOLD 13
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $249.76 DETAILS
HIGH: $320.00
LOW: $165.00
MEDIAN: $270.00
CONSENSUS: $249.76
UPSIDE: 1.32%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 3.0% below fair value
Current Price $246.50
Bear Case $172.49 30.0% downside ($172.49 - $246.50) / $246.50 = -30.0% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $254.09 3.1% upside ($254.09 - $246.50) / $246.50 = 3.1% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $347.17 40.8% upside ($347.17 - $246.50) / $246.50 = 40.8% 21% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 32.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 15.5% vs our 16.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 16% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $254.09 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (43 analysts) $249.76
Analyst Range $165.00 – $320.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 2%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 52% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions