Visa Inc. logo V - Visa Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 52
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $363.36 DETAILS
HIGH: $415.00
LOW: $160.00
MEDIAN: $385.00
CONSENSUS: $363.36
UPSIDE: 10.48%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 2.7% below fair value
Current Price $328.88
Bear Case $219.25 33.3% downside ($219.25 - $328.88) / $328.88 = -33.3% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $337.93 2.8% upside ($337.93 - $328.88) / $328.88 = 2.8% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $468.03 42.3% upside ($468.03 - $328.88) / $328.88 = 42.3% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 30.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $363.36 from 61 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $337.93 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions