V - Visa Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$419.06
DETAILS
HIGH:
$460.00
LOW:
$350.00
MEDIAN:
$420.00
CONSENSUS:
$419.06
UPSIDE:
9.16%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
14.3%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (14% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
42%
Implied Market Multiple
33.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.9%
vs our 14.3% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $340.70 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (62 analysts)
$419.06
Analyst Range
$350.00 – $460.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
19%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions