V - Visa Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$394.15
DETAILS
HIGH:
$450.00
LOW:
$350.00
MEDIAN:
$394.00
CONSENSUS:
$394.15
UPSIDE:
13.20%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
14.3%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (14% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
42%
Implied Market Multiple
32.1x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.3%
vs our 14.3% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $394.15 from 61 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $348.71 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions