United Parcel Service, Inc. logo UPS - United Parcel Service, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
2
BUY 18
HOLD 21
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $115.23 DETAILS
HIGH: $128.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $115.00
CONSENSUS: $115.23
UPSIDE: 14.07%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 62.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
B- 67.8
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 18.9% 89/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.13 pp/yr 17/100
Contributes 13.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A 92.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 52.4% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.8% 77/100
Contributes 13.8 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
F 18.9
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -2.3% 15/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -18.2% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 2.8 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B 72.3
  • 5yr FCF Margin 7.7% 61/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.87x 87/100
Contributes 10.9 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
B 72.6
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.16x 67/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 8.38x 79/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.92 76/100
Contributes 14.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
D+ 43.1
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.56 25/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 6.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

4 of 4 gurus held; 1 added; 3 trimmed.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
-20.8%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.