Union Pacific Corporation logo UNP - Union Pacific Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 27
HOLD 18
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $287.30 DETAILS
HIGH: $315.00
LOW: $245.00
MEDIAN: $287.00
CONSENSUS: $287.30
UPSIDE: 8.06%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B+ 75.4 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
B- 66.7
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 15.5% 81/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.52 pp/yr 33/100
Contributes 13.3 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 96.8
  • 5yr Avg ROE 36.6% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.4% 91/100
Contributes 14.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
C 54.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 3.0% 45/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 4.7% 53/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 8.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A 88.8
  • 5yr FCF Margin 23.5% 94/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.83x 83/100
Contributes 13.3 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
B+ 75.5
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.34x 63/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 8.00x 77/100
  • Altman Z-Score 4.15 96/100
Contributes 15.1 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
B 73.2
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.28 59/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 11.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Accumulating

7 of 7 gurus held; 1 new buy; 4 added; 2 trimmed.

Holders
7 +1
Avg Δ position
+181.4%
New buys
1
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.