TTM Technologies, Inc. logo TTMI - TTM Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $173.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $208.00
LOW: $150.00
MEDIAN: $167.50
CONSENSUS: $173.25
UPSIDE: 102.63%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 239.3% above fair value
Current Price $85.50
Bear Case $20.16 76.4% downside ($20.16 - $85.50) / $85.50 = -76.4% $1.68 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $25.20 70.5% downside ($25.20 - $85.50) / $85.50 = -70.5% $1.68 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $30.24 64.6% downside ($30.24 - $85.50) / $85.50 = -64.6% $1.68 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.68$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 50.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.68, the base-case value is $25.20 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $173.25
Analyst Range $150.00 – $208.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 85%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $173.25 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 85% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples