TTM Technologies, Inc. logo TTMI - TTM Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $158.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $180.00
LOW: $135.00
MEDIAN: $160.00
CONSENSUS: $158.33
DOWNSIDE: 16.63%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 256.1% above fair value
Current Price $189.92
Bear Case $42.67 77.5% downside ($42.67 - $189.92) / $189.92 = -77.5% $1.81 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $53.34 71.9% downside ($53.34 - $189.92) / $189.92 = -71.9% $1.81 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $64.01 66.3% downside ($64.01 - $189.92) / $189.92 = -66.3% $1.81 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 105.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $158.33 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $53.34 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $158.33 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 83% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples