TTM Technologies, Inc. logo TTMI - TTM Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $209.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $215.00
LOW: $205.00
MEDIAN: $208.00
CONSENSUS: $209.33
UPSIDE: 65.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 401.7% above fair value
Current Price $126.44
Bear Case $20.16 84.1% downside ($20.16 - $126.44) / $126.44 = -84.1% $1.68 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $25.20 80.1% downside ($25.20 - $126.44) / $126.44 = -80.1% $1.68 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $30.24 76.1% downside ($30.24 - $126.44) / $126.44 = -76.1% $1.68 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.68$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 75.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.68, the base-case value is $25.20 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $209.33
Analyst Range $205.00 – $215.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 88%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $209.33 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 88% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples