Toll Brothers, Inc. logo TOL - Toll Brothers, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 22
HOLD 21
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $167.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $195.00
LOW: $122.00
MEDIAN: $170.00
CONSENSUS: $167.67
UPSIDE: 23.23%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B+ 77.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B+ 77.2
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 12.7% 72/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +1.23 pp/yr 88/100
Contributes 11.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A 93.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 18.8% 89/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -5.3% 100/100
Contributes 13.9 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
A- 86.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 9.2% 78/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 31.7% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 8.6 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B+ 79.1
  • 5yr FCF Margin 10.6% 71/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.88x 88/100
Contributes 11.9 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A 92.5
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.89x 86/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 30.00x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 4.03 95/100
Contributes 23.1 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D+ 40.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.69 15/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 4 44/100
Contributes 8.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

4 of 4 gurus held; 1 new buy; 3 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
-58.1%
New buys
1
Full exits
1
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.