AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes T-Mobile US, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag TMUS as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is T-Mobile US, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for TMUS is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value TMUS?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from TMUS's most recent reported fundamentals.

TMUS - T-Mobile US, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $242.55 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 75% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 3.1% below fair value

Current Price $192.43

Bear Case $136.73 28.9% downside ($136.73 - $192.43) / $192.43 = -28.9% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Fair Value $198.49 3.2% upside ($198.49 - $192.43) / $192.43 = 3.2% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Bull Case $254.94 32.5% upside ($254.94 - $192.43) / $192.43 = 32.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

7.3%

Discount Rate (WACC)

11.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%

Implied Market Multiple 18.7x

Market is pricing in (growth) 8.1% vs our 7.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $242.55 from 54 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $198.49 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $242.55 (from 54 analysts). Our estimate is 28% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions