Truist Financial Corporation logo TFC - Truist Financial Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 27
HOLD 24
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $55.13 DETAILS
HIGH: $62.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $55.00
CONSENSUS: $55.13
UPSIDE: 15.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.7% below fair value
Current Price $47.73
Bear Case $40.11 16.0% downside ($40.11 - $47.73) / $47.73 = -16.0% ROTCE 8.5% → 0.85x TBV
Fair Value $57.30 20.1% upside ($57.30 - $47.73) / $47.73 = 20.1% ROTCE 11.3% → 1.39x TBV
Bull Case $74.49 56.1% upside ($74.49 - $47.73) / $47.73 = 56.1% ROTCE 13.0% → 1.71x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

11.3%
9.3%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (11.3%) vs. cost of equity (9.3%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.25x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 11.3% vs. 9.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.39x on $38.32 tangible book, implying $57.30 per share. DDM cross-check: $26.03.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (54 analysts) $55.13
Analyst Range $50.00 – $62.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 4%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $26.03 (55% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly