TFC - Truist Financial Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$55.13
DETAILS
HIGH:
$62.00
LOW:
$50.00
MEDIAN:
$55.00
CONSENSUS:
$55.13
UPSIDE:
15.50%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
11.3%
9.3%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (11.3%) vs. cost of equity (9.3%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.25x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 11.3% vs. 9.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.39x on $38.32 tangible book, implying $57.30 per share. DDM cross-check: $26.03.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (54 analysts)
$55.13
Analyst Range
$50.00 – $62.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
4%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $26.03 (55% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly