Bio-Techne Corporation logo TECH - Bio-Techne Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $79.00
LOW: $49.00
MEDIAN: $56.00
CONSENSUS: $60.33
UPSIDE: 25.14%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 52.1% above fair value
Current Price $48.21
Bear Case $24.51 49.2% downside ($24.51 - $48.21) / $48.21 = -49.2% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $31.69 34.3% downside ($31.69 - $48.21) / $48.21 = -34.3% 8% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $38.41 20.3% downside ($38.41 - $48.21) / $48.21 = -20.3% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 34.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $60.33 from 25 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.69 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 56% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $60.33 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 63% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions