Bio-Techne Corporation logo TECH - Bio-Techne Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 13
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $66.44 DETAILS
HIGH: $79.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $73.00
CONSENSUS: $66.44
DOWNSIDE: 7.88%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 101.8% above fair value
Current Price $72.12
Bear Case $27.47 61.9% downside ($27.47 - $72.12) / $72.12 = -61.9% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $35.73 50.5% downside ($35.73 - $72.12) / $72.12 = -50.5% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $43.47 39.7% downside ($43.47 - $72.12) / $72.12 = -39.7% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 51.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 21.5% vs our 8.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $66.44 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $35.73 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 56% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $66.44 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 62% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions