AT&T Inc. logo T - AT&T Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 25
HOLD 30
SELL 6
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.13 DETAILS
HIGH: $31.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $28.00
CONSENSUS: $27.13
UPSIDE: 14.45%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.0% below fair value
Current Price $23.70
Bear Case $32.12 35.5% upside ($32.12 - $23.70) / $23.70 = 35.5% $3.11 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $40.15 69.4% upside ($40.15 - $23.70) / $23.70 = 69.4% $3.11 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $48.19 103.3% upside ($48.19 - $23.70) / $23.70 = 103.3% $3.11 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.2x
3.11$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $27.13 from 62 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $40.15 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $27.13 (from 62 analysts). Our estimate is 74% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples