T - AT&T Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$26.78
DETAILS
HIGH:
$30.00
LOW:
$20.00
MEDIAN:
$28.00
CONSENSUS:
$26.78
UPSIDE:
4.63%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.2x
3.04$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
8.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.04, the base-case value is $46.16 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (62 analysts)
$26.78
Analyst Range
$20.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
72%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $26.78 (from 62 analysts). Our estimate is 72% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples