AT&T Inc. logo T - AT&T Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 25
HOLD 31
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.35 DETAILS
HIGH: $33.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $29.25
CONSENSUS: $29.35
UPSIDE: 32.81%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 46.0% below fair value
Current Price $22.10
Bear Case $32.74 48.1% upside ($32.74 - $22.10) / $22.10 = 48.1% $3.11 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $40.92 85.2% upside ($40.92 - $22.10) / $22.10 = 85.2% $3.11 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $49.10 122.2% upside ($49.10 - $22.10) / $22.10 = 122.2% $3.11 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.2x
3.11$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $29.35 from 62 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $40.92 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $29.35 (from 62 analysts). Our estimate is 61% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples