T - AT&T Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$27.13
DETAILS
HIGH:
$31.00
LOW:
$20.00
MEDIAN:
$28.00
CONSENSUS:
$27.13
UPSIDE:
14.45%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.2x
3.11$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
7.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $27.13 from 62 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $40.15 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $27.13 (from 62 analysts). Our estimate is 74% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples