AT&T Inc. logo T - AT&T Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 25
HOLD 30
SELL 6
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.78 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $28.00
CONSENSUS: $26.78
UPSIDE: 4.63%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 44.5% below fair value
Current Price $25.59
Bear Case $36.92 44.3% upside ($36.92 - $25.59) / $25.59 = 44.3% $3.04 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $46.16 80.3% upside ($46.16 - $25.59) / $25.59 = 80.3% $3.04 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $55.39 116.4% upside ($55.39 - $25.59) / $25.59 = 116.4% $3.04 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.2x
3.04$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.04, the base-case value is $46.16 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (62 analysts) $26.78
Analyst Range $20.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 72%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $26.78 (from 62 analysts). Our estimate is 72% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples