AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag SWK as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for SWK is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value SWK?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from SWK's most recent reported fundamentals.

SWK - Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $88.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 10.0% below fair value

Current Price $87.62

Bear Case $77.90 11.1% downside ($77.90 - $87.62) / $87.62 = -11.1% $6.76 × 12x P/E

Fair Value $97.38 11.1% upside ($97.38 - $87.62) / $87.62 = 11.1% $6.76 × 15x P/E

Bull Case $116.86 33.4% upside ($116.86 - $87.62) / $87.62 = 33.4% $6.76 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

15.0x

Adjusted EPS

6.76$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $88.00 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $97.38 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 155%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

⚠ The company pays out 125% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $47.90 (below our primary estimate by 53%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples