Constellation Brands, Inc. logo STZ - Constellation Brands, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 24
HOLD 20
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $175.70 DETAILS
HIGH: $197.00
LOW: $154.00
MEDIAN: $180.00
CONSENSUS: $175.70
UPSIDE: 17.53%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

F 30.0 / 100 pillar composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

⚠ 3 of the last 5 fiscal years showed negative net income — AlphaQuality will not grade above F for persistent unprofitability in a stable earnings power business.

Grade overrides the 30.0 pillar composite because hard gates always win. Use the pillar breakdown below to see where the underlying numbers sit.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
D+ 43.7
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 5.6% 38/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.06 pp/yr 57/100
Contributes 8.7 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B- 63.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 8.0% 50/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.0% 88/100
Contributes 9.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
D 38.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 0.9% 27/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 1.2% 28/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 5.7 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A 91.5
  • 5yr FCF Margin 18.2% 87/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.97x 97/100
Contributes 13.7 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
C+ 60.6
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 3.38x 42/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 8.12x 77/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.86 73/100
Contributes 12.1 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C+ 59.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.41 42/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 8.8 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

5 of 5 gurus held; 2 added; 3 trimmed.

Holders
5
Avg Δ position
-17.4%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.