STRA - Strategic Education, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$92.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$105.00
LOW:
$80.00
MEDIAN:
$91.00
CONSENSUS:
$92.00
UPSIDE:
8.70%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
5.42$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.42, the base-case value is $92.14 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (18 analysts)
$92.00
Analyst Range
$80.00 – $105.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
0%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples