Scorpio Tankers Inc. logo STNG - Scorpio Tankers Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $96.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $110.00
LOW: $86.00
MEDIAN: $94.00
CONSENSUS: $96.67
UPSIDE: 9.67%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.4% below fair value
Current Price $88.15
Bear Case $120.36 36.5% upside ($120.36 - $88.15) / $88.15 = 36.5% $10.03 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $150.45 70.7% upside ($150.45 - $88.15) / $88.15 = 70.7% $10.03 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $180.54 104.8% upside ($180.54 - $88.15) / $88.15 = 104.8% $10.03 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
10.03$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $10.03, the base-case value is $150.45 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (31 analysts) $96.67
Analyst Range $86.00 – $110.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 56%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 43%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $96.67 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 56% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples