Scorpio Tankers Inc. logo STNG - Scorpio Tankers Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $86.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $96.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $83.00
CONSENSUS: $86.33
UPSIDE: 7.63%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 38.9% below fair value
Current Price $80.21
Bear Case $104.97 30.9% upside ($104.97 - $80.21) / $80.21 = 30.9% $10.03 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $131.21 63.6% upside ($131.21 - $80.21) / $80.21 = 63.6% $10.03 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $157.46 96.3% upside ($157.46 - $80.21) / $80.21 = 96.3% $10.03 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
10.03$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $86.33 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $131.21 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 43%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $86.33 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 74% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples