Scorpio Tankers Inc. logo STNG - Scorpio Tankers Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 23
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $85.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $98.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $82.50
CONSENSUS: $85.75
UPSIDE: 12.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.8% below fair value
Current Price $76.25
Bear Case $104.83 37.5% upside ($104.83 - $76.25) / $76.25 = 37.5% $10.03 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $131.04 71.9% upside ($131.04 - $76.25) / $76.25 = 71.9% $10.03 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $157.25 106.2% upside ($157.25 - $76.25) / $76.25 = 106.2% $10.03 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
10.03$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $85.75 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $131.04 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 43%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $85.75 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 75% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples