Stewart Information Services Corporation logo STC - Stewart Information Services Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 3
HOLD 3
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $78.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $87.00
LOW: $70.00
MEDIAN: $78.50
CONSENSUS: $78.50
UPSIDE: 82.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 46.1% below fair value
Current Price $42.96
Bear Case $55.74 29.8% upside ($55.74 - $42.96) / $42.96 = 29.8% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.63x TBV
Fair Value $79.63 85.4% upside ($79.63 - $42.96) / $42.96 = 85.4% ROTCE 25.0% → 3.45x TBV
Bull Case $103.52 141.0% upside ($103.52 - $42.96) / $42.96 = 141.0% ROTCE 30.0% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

262.7%
10.1%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (262.7%) vs. cost of equity (10.1%)

Implied Market Multiple 29.81x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 262.7% vs. 10.1% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.45x on $1.44 tangible book, implying $79.63 per share. DDM cross-check: $57.58.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $78.50
Analyst Range $70.00 – $87.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $57.58 (28% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly