Stewart Information Services Corporation logo STC - Stewart Information Services Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 3
HOLD 2
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $80.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $81.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $80.50
CONSENSUS: $80.50
UPSIDE: 15.89%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 13.0% below fair value
Current Price $69.46
Bear Case $55.86 19.6% downside ($55.86 - $69.46) / $69.46 = -19.6% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.75x TBV
Fair Value $79.80 14.9% upside ($79.80 - $69.46) / $69.46 = 14.9% ROTCE 25.0% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $103.75 49.4% upside ($103.75 - $69.46) / $69.46 = 49.4% ROTCE 30.0% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

262.7%
9.8%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (262.7%) vs. cost of equity (9.8%)

Implied Market Multiple 48.04x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $80.50 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $79.80 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $102.38 (29% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly