Stewart Information Services Corporation logo STC - Stewart Information Services Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 3
HOLD 2
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $87.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $87.00
LOW: $87.00
MEDIAN: $87.00
CONSENSUS: $87.00
UPSIDE: 25.18%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 14.3% below fair value
Current Price $69.50
Bear Case $56.77 18.3% downside ($56.77 - $69.50) / $69.50 = -18.3% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.75x TBV
Fair Value $81.10 16.7% upside ($81.10 - $69.50) / $69.50 = 16.7% ROTCE 25.0% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $105.44 51.7% upside ($105.44 - $69.50) / $69.50 = 51.7% ROTCE 30.0% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

262.7%
9.8%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (262.7%) vs. cost of equity (9.8%)

Implied Market Multiple 48.07x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $87.00 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $81.10 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $102.38 (29% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly