Stewart Information Services Corporation logo STC - Stewart Information Services Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 2
HOLD 3
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $87.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $87.00
LOW: $87.00
MEDIAN: $87.00
CONSENSUS: $87.00
UPSIDE: 31.34%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.8% below fair value
Current Price $66.24
Bear Case $55.74 15.8% downside ($55.74 - $66.24) / $66.24 = -15.8% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.78x TBV
Fair Value $79.63 20.2% upside ($79.63 - $66.24) / $66.24 = 20.2% ROTCE 25.0% → 3.65x TBV
Bull Case $103.52 56.3% upside ($103.52 - $66.24) / $66.24 = 56.3% ROTCE 30.0% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

262.7%
9.8%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (262.7%) vs. cost of equity (9.8%)

Implied Market Multiple 45.82x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 262.7% vs. 9.8% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.65x on $1.45 tangible book, implying $79.63 per share. DDM cross-check: $62.98.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $87.00
Analyst Range $87.00 – $87.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 8%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly