STC - Stewart Information Services Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$78.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$87.00
LOW:
$70.00
MEDIAN:
$78.50
CONSENSUS:
$78.50
UPSIDE:
82.73%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
262.7%
10.1%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (262.7%) vs. cost of equity (10.1%)
Implied Market Multiple
29.81x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 262.7% vs. 10.1% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.45x on $1.44 tangible book, implying $79.63 per share. DDM cross-check: $57.58.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (9 analysts)
$78.50
Analyst Range
$70.00 – $87.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
1%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $57.58 (28% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly