Strata Critical Medical, Inc. logo SRTA - Strata Critical Medical, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $7.25
LOW: $7.25
MEDIAN: $7.25
CONSENSUS: $7.25
UPSIDE: 36.02%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 52.6% below fair value
Current Price $5.33
Bear Case $9.00 68.9% upside ($9.00 - $5.33) / $5.33 = 68.9% $0.50 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $11.25 111.1% upside ($11.25 - $5.33) / $5.33 = 111.1% $0.50 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $13.50 153.3% upside ($13.50 - $5.33) / $5.33 = 153.3% $0.50 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
0.5$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.50, the base-case value is $11.25 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $7.25
Analyst Range $7.25 – $7.25
Divergence from AlphaVal 55%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $7.25 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 55% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples