Strata Critical Medical, Inc. logo SRTA - Strata Critical Medical, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $7.25
LOW: $7.25
MEDIAN: $7.25
CONSENSUS: $7.25
UPSIDE: 22.05%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 47.1% below fair value
Current Price $5.94
Bear Case $8.98 51.2% upside ($8.98 - $5.94) / $5.94 = 51.2% $0.54 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $11.23 89.1% upside ($11.23 - $5.94) / $5.94 = 89.1% $0.54 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $13.48 126.9% upside ($13.48 - $5.94) / $5.94 = 126.9% $0.54 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
0.54$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $7.25 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $11.23 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $7.25 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 69% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples