AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes S&P Global Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag SPGI as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is S&P Global Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for SPGI is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value SPGI?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from SPGI's most recent reported fundamentals.

SPGI - S&P Global Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $548.11 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild

Trading 0.9% above fair value

Current Price $417.60

Bear Case $286.42 31.4% downside ($286.42 - $417.60) / $417.60 = -31.4% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Fair Value $414.00 0.9% downside ($414.00 - $417.60) / $417.60 = -0.9% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Bull Case $542.18 29.8% upside ($542.18 - $417.60) / $417.60 = 29.8% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

10.9%

Discount Rate (WACC)

11.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%

Implied Market Multiple 25.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $548.11 from 28 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $414.00 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $548.11 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions