The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company logo SMG - The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $73.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $79.00
LOW: $67.00
MEDIAN: $74.00
CONSENSUS: $73.50
UPSIDE: 24.24%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

D 38.4 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
D+ 43.2
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 3.4% 27/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.86 pp/yr 81/100
Contributes 6.5 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
F 24.7
  • 5yr Avg ROE 0.0% 10/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 0.6% 52/100
Contributes 3.7 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
F 9.1
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -8.8% 2/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -27.5% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 0.9 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B+ 75.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 6.8% 57/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.10x 98/100
Contributes 11.3 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
D- 29.4
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 5.51x 11/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 2.72x 40/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.25 49/100
Contributes 7.3 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D+ 43.5
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.59 22/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 8.7 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

3 of 4 gurus held; 2 added; 1 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
3 -1
Avg Δ position
+57.1%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.