The J. M. Smucker Company logo SJM - The J. M. Smucker Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 13
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $120.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $137.00
LOW: $95.00
MEDIAN: $125.00
CONSENSUS: $120.33
UPSIDE: 6.26%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

F 30.0 / 100 pillar composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

⚠ 3 of the last 5 fiscal years showed negative net income — AlphaQuality will not grade above F for persistent unprofitability in a stable earnings power business.

Grade overrides the 30.0 pillar composite because hard gates always win. Use the pillar breakdown below to see where the underlying numbers sit.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
F 16.1
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 2.6% 23/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.72 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 3.2 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
D- 30.9
  • 5yr Avg ROE -0.3% 9/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.4% 71/100
Contributes 4.6 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
C+ 59.9
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 3.1% 46/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 10.6% 78/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 9.0 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A- 82.3
  • 5yr FCF Margin 9.5% 68/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.00x 100/100
Contributes 12.4 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
F 8.7
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 13.28x 0/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 0.84x 11/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.26 21/100
Contributes 1.7 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C 55.3
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.33 52/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 8.3 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Accumulating

4 of 4 gurus held; 3 added; 1 trimmed.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
+3433.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.