SE - Sea Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$139.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$170.00
LOW:
$121.00
MEDIAN:
$137.50
CONSENSUS:
$139.67
UPSIDE:
60.04%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
24.0x
2.52$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (24x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
34.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $139.67 from 44 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $84.26 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $194.93 (above our primary estimate by 222%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $139.67 (from 44 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples