SE - Sea Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$146.80
DETAILS
HIGH:
$156.00
LOW:
$125.00
MEDIAN:
$150.00
CONSENSUS:
$146.80
UPSIDE:
30.97%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
24.0x
2.52$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (24x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
44.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 24x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.52, the base-case value is $60.48 per share. DDM cross-check: $194.93.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (44 analysts)
$146.80
Analyst Range
$125.00 – $156.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
59%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $194.93 (above our primary estimate by 222%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $146.80 (from 44 analysts). Our estimate is 59% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples