Repay Holdings Corporation logo RPAY - Repay Holdings Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $4.38 DETAILS
HIGH: $6.00
LOW: $3.50
MEDIAN: $4.00
CONSENSUS: $4.38
UPSIDE: 14.81%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 84.9% below fair value
Current Price $3.81
Bear Case $14.60 282.7% upside ($14.60 - $3.81) / $3.81 = 282.7% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $25.33 564.0% upside ($25.33 - $3.81) / $3.81 = 564.0% 16% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $37.47 882.1% upside ($37.47 - $3.81) / $3.81 = 882.1% 21% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

15.8%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 7.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) -3.4% vs our 15.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 16% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $25.33 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $4.38
Analyst Range $3.50 – $6.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 478%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $4.38 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 478% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions