Repay Holdings Corporation logo RPAY - Repay Holdings Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $4.38 DETAILS
HIGH: $6.00
LOW: $3.50
MEDIAN: $4.00
CONSENSUS: $4.38
UPSIDE: 7.35%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 76.5% below fair value
Current Price $4.08
Bear Case $9.87 141.9% upside ($9.87 - $4.08) / $4.08 = 141.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $17.38 326.1% upside ($17.38 - $4.08) / $4.08 = 326.1% 16% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $25.89 534.4% upside ($25.89 - $4.08) / $4.08 = 534.4% 21% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

15.8%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 8.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) -0.8% vs our 15.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $4.38 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $17.38 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $4.38 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 396% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions