RMAX - RE/MAX Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$16.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$34.00
LOW:
$7.00
MEDIAN:
$9.00
CONSENSUS:
$16.67
UPSIDE:
34.87%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
75% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
0.4$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
30.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.40, the base-case value is $6.00 per share. DDM cross-check: $15.86.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (14 analysts)
$16.67
Analyst Range
$7.00 – $34.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
64%
Warnings
The company pays out 230% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $15.86 (above our primary estimate by 164%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $16.67 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 64% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples