RE/MAX Holdings, Inc. logo RMAX - RE/MAX Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 6
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $16.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $7.00
MEDIAN: $9.00
CONSENSUS: $16.67
UPSIDE: 34.87%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 75% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 106.0% above fair value
Current Price $12.36
Bear Case $4.80 61.2% downside ($4.80 - $12.36) / $12.36 = -61.2% $0.40 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $6.00 51.5% downside ($6.00 - $12.36) / $12.36 = -51.5% $0.40 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $7.20 41.7% downside ($7.20 - $12.36) / $12.36 = -41.7% $0.40 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.4$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 30.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.40, the base-case value is $6.00 per share. DDM cross-check: $15.86.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $16.67
Analyst Range $7.00 – $34.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 64%

Warnings

The company pays out 230% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $15.86 (above our primary estimate by 164%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $16.67 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 64% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples