RE/MAX Holdings, Inc. logo RMAX - RE/MAX Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 6
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $16.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $7.00
MEDIAN: $9.00
CONSENSUS: $16.67
UPSIDE: 77.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 75% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 22.0% below fair value
Current Price $9.38
Bear Case $9.62 2.6% upside ($9.62 - $9.38) / $9.38 = 2.6% $0.72 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $12.02 28.2% upside ($12.02 - $9.38) / $9.38 = 28.2% $0.72 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $14.42 53.8% upside ($14.42 - $9.38) / $9.38 = 53.8% $0.72 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.72$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $16.67 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $12.02 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 81%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 230% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $15.86 (above our primary estimate by 46%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $16.67 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 35% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples