RF Industries, Ltd. logo RFIL - RF Industries, Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $19.00
LOW: $19.00
MEDIAN: $19.00
CONSENSUS: $19.00
UPSIDE: 84.11%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 38.4% above fair value
Current Price $10.32
Bear Case $4.35 57.9% downside ($4.35 - $10.32) / $10.32 = -57.9% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $7.45 27.8% downside ($7.45 - $10.32) / $10.32 = -27.8% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $10.78 4.5% upside ($10.78 - $10.32) / $10.32 = 4.5% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 36.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 16.9% vs our 13.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $7.45 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 1163% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
This stock is 54% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions