REG - Regency Centers Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$86.63
DETAILS
HIGH:
$92.00
LOW:
$83.00
MEDIAN:
$85.00
CONSENSUS:
$86.63
UPSIDE:
14.71%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.5x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($5.11) × retail P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
14.8x
Plain-Language Summary
At $5.11 FFO/share with a 20x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $92.38 per share. Dividend yield: 4.0%. DDM cross-check: $75.60.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (33 analysts)
$86.63
Analyst Range
$83.00 – $92.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
7%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify