PROG Holdings, Inc. logo PRG - PROG Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $42.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $47.50
LOW: $35.00
MEDIAN: $45.00
CONSENSUS: $42.50
UPSIDE: 27.02%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 66.2 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
B- 63.8
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 13.8% 76/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.44 pp/yr 35/100
Contributes 12.8 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 97.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 22.1% 95/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -11.3% 100/100
Contributes 14.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
F 21.3
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -2.6% 15/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -0.5% 19/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 3.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B+ 76.8
  • 5yr FCF Margin 8.9% 66/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.52x 90/100
Contributes 11.5 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
A- 86.2
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.16x 93/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 6.06x 69/100
  • Altman Z-Score 3.91 94/100
Contributes 17.2 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C- 46.6
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.45 37/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 7.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

2 of 2 gurus held; 2 trimmed.

Holders
2
Avg Δ position
-28.3%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.